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Why can’t we solve the fuel problem the way Greece solved it?

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The fuel crisis has had an extremely serious impact on people’s lives by now. Government employees are restricted from being summoned to offices. Schools are not held. Vegetable farmers have not been able to send their crops to economic centers. The tea industry is in a serious problem as it is not possible to send the tea leaves to the tea factories every day. Even the shelves of shops in distant areas away from Colombo are slowly becoming empty because the transportation of goods from Colombo is limited.

If we have to continue in this way, there is a possibility that many industries such as agriculture and businesses in the country will completely collapse. Hospitals may not even be able to transport the necessary medicines. The number of hours of daily power cut has increased so much that it is impossible to come to a point where the entire country will stop. Depending on the way things are developing, the day is not far when a pregnant mother who is about to give birth cannot find a vehicle to go to a hospital, and the patient cannot be taken to a hospital in case of an emergency snake bite.

It is true that several fuel ships are due to arrive in Sri Lanka this week. But it is also true that in the long term, there is no sign of a solution to this fuel crisis.

It is a well-known fact that this fuel crisis is caused by the lack of foreign exchange that we are facing as a country. Most of the country’s monthly import expenditure is allocated to the import of fuel.

What Greece did…

Greece, just like us, is a country that has faced a foreign exchange crisis before us. There they wanted to reduce their fuel demand by 50%. What they did was, they increased fuel prices by 50%. Accordingly, the price of a liter of petrol in Greece is 2.35 US dollars (857 rupees). A liter of diesel costs US$ 2.02 (Rs 737).

With the extra money received by the government through this price increase, they arranged to provide diesel at subsidized rates for public transport. Through that, they were able to reduce public transport fares by 10% compared to the amount before the arrival of the Covid epidemic situation.

Now there are no fuel queues in Greece. Relief has also been provided to the public due to the reduction in public transport fares. Also, foreign tourists are coming to Greece and foreign exchange inflows are also increasing.

It is stated that through the above program they have been able to reduce fuel demand by 43%.

Why can’t SL do that?

Considering the situation in Sri Lanka, according to the current monthly income, we have enough money to bring fuel for about 15 days. Accordingly, we also have to reduce fuel demand by 50%. We will also be able to reverse this situation when the country starts receiving foreign exchange income through the tourism industry.

But the question is why the authorities do not directly announce this situation to the people and go to a solution like Greece.

China to provide US $4 billion aid for Sri Lanka “at some point”: envoy Kohona

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Sri Lanka is continuing negotiations with China for as much as US$4 billion in aid and is confident Beijing will agree “at some point,” according to a top envoy.

Colombo is asking China for a loan of $1 billion to repay an equivalent amount of Chinese debt coming due this year, Palitha Kohona, Sri Lanka’s ambassador to China, said in an interview to Bloomberg Television Friday. It is also seeking a $1.5 billion credit line to pay for Chinese imports and activation of a $1.5 billion swap, he added.

“We are confident that at some point the Chinese system will agree to our requests because these are not unreasonable requests,” Kohona said. “We have made similar requests to other creditors. Sri Lanka needs the funding to bring stability to our financial system and we are confident that the Chinese will come to the party sooner than later.”

The bankrupt South Asian country has received about $3.8 billion in aid from neighbor India, and is negotiating for more. The cash is needed to pay for food and fuel purchases, with severe shortages seen stoking inflation to 70%, triggering violent public protests and forcing President Gotabaya Rajapaksa to flee the nation and resign.

Sri Lanka’s federal government has about $12.6 billion in outstanding bonds owed to global funds; all repayments are frozen and defaults have been recorded. It owes roughly an equivalent amount to bilateral creditors and multilateral lenders.

Some 10% of Sri Lanka’s external debt is owed to China, Kohona said. Acting President Ranil Wickremesinghe had told Bloomberg News earlier that Japan is owed roughly an equal share but the interest rates on Chinese loans are higher. Wickremesinghe is seeking a bailout from the International Monetary Fund.

India has urged the IMF to treat all of Sri Lanka’s creditors on par. China is concerned about potential delays in repayments if the agreed $1.5 billion swap is included in IMF talks, Sri Lankan authorities have said. Kohona declined to say if China will permit Sri Lanka to tap the swap but said this line won’t be included in IMF talks.

Kohona on Friday said Sri Lanka’s relationship with “close, vital neighbor” India isn’t dependent on the island’s “warm, proximate” relationship with China. He added that China-Sri Lanka relations will survive the departure of Rajapaksa, who was seen as close to Beijing.

“The president has gone, but in the coming weeks we will decide on a successor,” Kohona said. “What we went through was a popular uprising, a popular expression of disenchantment. The people have expressed themselves.”

IMF calls for political stability in Sri Lanka to resume talks

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is calling for political stability in Sri Lanka in order to resume key talks on bail out loan to rescue the island nation from the balance of payment crisis.


The IMF is still in contact with officials at technical levels within the Sri Lankan government and hopes to be able to resume discussions with higher-level officials, an IMF spokesman said on Thursday, after Sri Lanka’s president announced his resignation.

“We hope for a resolution of the current situation that would allow for our resumption of a dialogue on an IMF-supported program,” IMF spokesman Gerry Rice said in a scheduled press briefing.

Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapaksa sent a resignation letter on Thursday after fleeing to Singapore. He had first fled to the Maldives on Wednesday to escape a popular uprising over his family’s role in a crippling economic crisis.

Rice said the IMF still has technical counterparties in Sri Lanka’s Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance and hopes to be able to have high-level discussions with the authorities to begin discussions on a program “as soon as possible.”

He said any new loan program for Sri Lanka would require adequate assurances on debt sustainability.

Clifford Lau, a money manager at William Blair, a holder of Sri Lankan bonds, said it was difficult to say when a deal could be reached with the IMF because the country needs to rebuild its government.

“I still believe that an IMF deal will eventually happen as there is the consensus amongst the political elites that it is the most credible way forward to restore confidence from within and outside,” Lau said. “What needs to stop now is the political infighting, and elect an all-parties leader to resume bailout talks as soon as possible.”

IMF Spokesperson Gerry Rice noted that the crisis in Sri Lanka has interrupted the ongoing talks with the IMF.

“So, like everyone else we are, of course, deeply concerned about the ongoing crisis, it’s impact on the Sri Lankan people, and particularly the poor and the vulnerable groups in Sri Lanka and closely monitoring the political and the social developments there,” Rice told reporters.

He said the IMF hopes for a resolution of the current situation that would allow for the resumption of a dialogue on an IMF supported program.

“He added that that in June, less than a month ago, things are moving so fast, but less than a month ago there was an IMF staff team in Colombo.

And we did have discussions, actually, constructive discussions with the authorities on a set of economic policies and reforms that could be supported by, potentially by an IMF program. We don’t have a program with Sri Lanka right now. But we were discussing what could be a program,” he said.

Rice also said that Sri Lanka’s public debt is assessed as unsustainable and as is the case with every IMF program, not just the case of Sri Lanka, a program would require adequate assurances on debt sustainability.

SL manufacturing and service sectors suffer set back in political turmoil

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Sri Lanka’s manufacturing and service sectors have been greatly affected by the current political turmoil which has brought the country’s day today activities to a standstill further aggravating the economic crisis

Manufacturing sector has been paralyzed due to power cuts , fuel shortage and mass uprising and its functions declined in June 2022, indicating a setback in manufacturing activities on a month-on-month basis.

This was driven by the decrease in all the sub sectors except Suppliers’ Delivery Time. New Orders declined particularly in the manufacturing of food & beverage sector partly due to the deterioration of purchasing power amidst the high inflationary environment.

Many export-oriented manufacturing firms also witnessed lower than anticipated orders as foreign buyers are worrying over the fragile political and economic condition prevailing in the county and possible disturbances to order fulfillment.

The decline in Production levels in June 2022 over the previous month was mainly because of the shortage of materials and ongoing energy shortage.

Scarcity of fuel affected the Production directly, as well as indirectly through difficulties in transportation. Moreover, the Employment sub-index recorded a decline on a month on-month basis, particularly in the manufacture of food & beverage sector.

The Stock of Purchases declined mainly due to the unavailability of required quantities in the domestic market and difficulties in opening letters of credit for importing materials.

The Suppliers’ Delivery Time further lengthened during the month at a higher pace, mainly on account of delays in clearance of imported goods, COVID-related lockdowns in China, vessel delays, and diesel shortage that affected domestic transportation.

For the next three months, the overall expectations for manufacturing activities continued to deteriorate compared to the previous month due to the prevailing uncertain economic environment in the country, supply-side constraints and possible weakening of external demand.

Service sector came to a standstill further indicating a contraction in services activities for the third consecutive month.

This was due to the declines in New Businesses, Business Activities, Employment and Expectations for Activity sub-indices.

New Businesses declined further in June 2022 compared to May 2022, particularly with the decreases observed in transportation, accommodation, food and beverage and education sub-sectors.

Continued supply-side constraints including acute fuel shortages led Business Activities in the services sector to decline further in June.

Moreover, many respondents highlighted that the subdued consumer spending amid the high inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, transportation related issues and pessimism on economic outlook further weakened the demand, particularly related to discretionary items.

In the light of these circumstances, other personal activities, transportation, wholesale and retail trade, accommodation, food and beverage and education sub-sectors recorded sharp declines during the month.

Maithri says that if there is no specific program, the SLFP will not vote!

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The Sri Lanka Freedom Party has decided not to vote for any candidate in the presidential election to be held in Parliament on the 20th unless a specific program is presented to relieve the people from the oppressive conditions they are facing.

Its chairman, former President Maithripala Sirisena, emphasized that at a press conference held in Colombo today (16).

Also, the former president said that after being appointed as the president, there is a need for a clear and firm statement that an all-party government will be formed in the constitution that is in a democratic framework.

Acting President decides to implement an urgent relief program to provide fuel, gas, and essential food

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Acting President Ranil Wickremesinghe has decided to implement an urgent relief program to provide fuel, gas and essential food items to the public who are struggling due to the economic pressure.

He has taken this decision following discussions held with Ministers and Members of Parliament this morning (16).

In addition, it has been decided to use additional money for this from the relief budget that will be presented in August.

In that discussion, the Acting President advised to speed up the implementation of the food security program.

Special attention was paid here to provide fuel and fertilizers regularly and promptly.

Also, during this discussion, plans have been made to prepare the necessary environment for businessmen to run their business without any hindrances.

Meanwhile, Acting President Wickremesinghe said during the discussion that the plan handed over by the peaceful protesters has been recognized as a good plan.

The Acting President further said that he will inform the activists about the measures being taken to fight corruption.

Prime Minister’s Media Division
16th July 2022

Here are The Main Contenders to Be Sri Lanka’s Next President

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Prime minister and leader of opposition are front-runners

Position comes vacant with President Rajapaksa’s resignation

By Sudhi Ranjan Sen and Anusha Ondaatjie

(Bloomberg) — The race to select Sri Lanka’s next president has begun as Gotabaya Rajapaksa stepped down after fleeing to Singapore. The support of both lawmakers and protesters will be crucial for the new leader with the bankrupt country in bailout talks with the International Monetary Fund.

The South Asian island nation is going through the worst economic and political crisis since its independence in 1948. Food, fuel and medicines are in short supply as inflation is seen touching 70%.

Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe — who had also promised to resign but is now interim president instead — imposed a state of emergency across Sri Lanka. That’s after protesters occupied his office, took control of the state broadcaster briefly, and attempted to storm parliament.

Sri Lanka’s parliament will meet Saturday to start the process of selecting the next president. Nominations will be called on July 19 and a vote taken on July 20. The process would wrap up in seven days, Mahinda Yapa Abeywardena, the Speaker of the parliament said Friday. The new president could hold office for the remaining two years of Rajapaksa’s term before a fresh election in 2024.

Here are the leading contenders for the job:

Ranil Wickremesinghe, 73

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Photographer: Buddhika Weerasinghe/Bloomberg

A lawyer by training, Wickremesinghe was first elected to the legislature in the late 1970s and had an unbroken streak in parliament until 2020, when his party was trounced after the Easter Sunday bombings.

As interim president, he will lead the race if he garners the support of Rajapaksa’s Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna party, which held a clear majority in the legislature until factions emerged in recent months. Wickremesinghe’s party didn’t win a single seat in the 2020 election but he returned as lawmaker through a system where parties with enough votes can nominate a member under the “national list.”

Wickremesinghe has allies across party lines and is an acceptable face globally — a qualification that will weigh in his favor as the bankrupt island nation negotiates a bailout program with the IMF. After all, Wickremesinghe, who has been prime minster five times before his current turn at the job, is viewed as something of a survivor in Sri Lankan politics.

Yet, he’s not immune to the anger on the streets of Sri Lanka that forced Rajapaksa’s exit. Over the weekend protesters burnt down his private residence. He was whisked away to safety and his whereabouts are not known.

Sri Lanka Leader Names Opponent as PM in Push for Unity

Sajith Premadasa, 55

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Source: AFP/Getty Images

The leader of the main opposition Samagi Jana Balawegaya party was a member of Wickremesinghe’s United National Party, that he joined in the 1990s, shortly after his father and then-President Ranasinghe Premadasa was assassinated by a Tamil suicide bomber.

He parted ways with Wickremesinghe in early 2020, ahead of parliamentary elections that year.

Before emerging as leader of the opposition, and a contender for the top post, Premadasa has held several cabinet posts, including that of health, housing construction and culture, working alongside Wickremesinghe and former President Maithripala Sirisena.

Earlier this year as Sri Lanka’s economic crisis deepened, sparking nationwide protests and forcing Rajapaksa’s cabinet to resign, Premadasa’s name came up as a contender for the prime minister’s job. Rajapaksa is said to have offered him the position but it fell through as Premadasa demanded an end to the sweeping powers of the president’s office and called for fresh elections instead.

Premadasa’s own SJB party doesn’t have the numbers to get him to the top post and will need the support of members from Rajapaksa’s party and minority parties.

Mahinda Yapa Abeywardena, 76

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Source: AFP/Getty Images

The current speaker of Sri Lanka’s parliament could emerge as a consensus president if there is deadlock over who should helm the country through the current crisis. However, he is also the deputy chairman of the ruling SLPP and is known to be a loyalist to Mahinda Rajapaksa, the former strongman leader and Gotabaya’s older brother, who heads the party. The continued influence of the Rajapaksa family, through Yapa Abeywardena, could make him unpalatable to protesters and even some lawmakers.

He is another survivor who has been active in politics for more than 30 years. He served as chief minister for the southern province for seven years until 2001 and was widely credited with rebuilding some of the infrastructure in the region. Yapa Abeywardena has taken on a couple of ministerial roles, the most prominent being the agriculture portfolio.

In his early days as a lawmaker, Yapa Abeywardena was one of two government parliamentarians that voted against the 1987 Indo-Sri Lanka accord that was supposed to resolve the civil war by giving power to the provinces, withdrawing troops and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Elam laying down their arms. But the deal never materialized and the war raged on.

Dullas Alahapperuma, 63

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Source: AFP/Getty Images

Alahapperuma is an ally of the former president’s brother Mahinda Rajapaksa, who served as president for a decade from 2005-2015 and became premier in Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s government before being forced to resign in May. He entered politics when he won a provincial seat in 1993, eventually serving as provincial minister for cultural affairs.

He has been with Rajapaksa’s SLPP and was the party leader for his home base of Matara in southern Sri Lanka 2016. His wife, a famous singer, told a local newspaper that year “I appreciate him as a politician but prefer the journalist in him,” referring to the time he wrote about social injustice for radical Sinhala-language tabloids as a student.

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Alahapperuma is likely to be nominated by an alliance consisting of lawmakers from the main opposition, the Sri Lankan Freedom Party and a breakaway faction of the ruling SLPP. Local media said the alliance met on July 11 and wanted to put forward Alahapperuma as president and Premadasa as the prime minister in the new government.

Sarath Fonseka, 71

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Source: AFP/Getty Images

The retired army general is a war-hero in Sri Lanka for leading the military as it crushed a more than quarter century long insurgency by the Tamil guerrilla fighters. He threw his hat in the ring Thursday, saying he was ready to step up for the president’s job if a majority of lawmakers supported him. A faction of Rajapaksa’s SLPP is also supporting him, he said.

The former military officer would be a strong opponent for Wickremesinghe. He’s appealed to the armed forces on the ground to hold back from implementing the acting president’s emergency orders.

Once close to the Rajapaksas, he became a political opponent, challenging former President Mahinda Rajapaksa in elections in 2010 after being moved to a largely ceremonial military post and being accused of attempting a coup. Troops ringed Fonseka’s poll headquarters in a Colombo hotel as votes were counted in the ballot that re-elected Rajapaksa with the strongest mandate in 16 years.

Rajapaksa Approves Release of Former Sri Lankan Army Chief

The former army chief was arrested a month later, a move that prompted opposition protests and accusations the government intended to prevent Fonseka from participating in parliamentary elections later that year. The arrest also followed reports he was prepared to testify in an international court on war crimes charges against the Sri Lankan government for actions during its final push in the war, Amnesty International said after his detention.

He was acquitted of all charges by President Maithripala Sirisena in 2021 and given complete amnesty.

To contact the reporters on this story:
Sudhi Ranjan Sen in New Delhi at [email protected]; Anusha Ondaatjie in Colombo at [email protected]

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Niluksi Koswanage at [email protected] Muneeza Naqvi, Jeanette Rodrigues

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of SUDHI RANJAN SEN at BLOOMBERG/ NEWSROOM: NEW DELHI. Not for redistribution.

Bloomberg News Story

Ranjan to be released on presidential pardon?

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According to unconfirmed sources, Acting President Ranil Wickramasinghe has decided to release former Member of Parliament Ranjan Ramanayake, who is imprisoned for contempt of court, on a presidential pardon.

However, it was reported that it may take some time as the procedure to release a prisoner on presidential pardon has to be completed.

A National Fuel License introduced to issue fuel

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Minister in charge Kanchana Wijesekera says that the introduction of the National Fuel License will be done today in order to manage the fuel stocks received in the face of the ongoing fuel crisis.

Thus, only one vehicle can be registered under one national identity card and a QR code is issued after registering the vehicle chassis number and other information.

With this, each vehicle will be given a certain amount of fuel per week.

According to the last number of the vehicle number plate, people will be given the opportunity to get fuel by using the relevant QR code 02 days a week.

Former President’s resignation read at the parliament

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Former President Gotabhaya Rajapaksa’s letter of resignation was read by the Parliamentary Secretary General today (14).