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Asian currencies, stocks rebound amid Ukraine crisis

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Emerging market currencies and stocks in Asia rose on Friday, tracking a broader recovery after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sent global assets tumbling in the previous session, although sentiment was still cautious.

The Thai baht and the Indian rupee made a swift recovery against the dollar, with both jumping 0.4 percent each, even as oil prices surged nearly 3 percent.

However, the baht, which has outperformed all of its emerging Asian peers so far this year, was set for its worst weekly drop in a month.

“I think the baht has now become a barometer of emerging market currencies and its rebound suggests that investors are probably buying the dips,” said Margaret Yang, a Singapore-based strategist with DailyFX.

Analysts expect the volatility seen in Asian stocks during this week to guide the moves in the foreseeable future.

“The main drivers of this volatility – geopolitical tensions and inflation – particularly in energy and commodities and uncertainty about the pace and extent of monetary policy tightening – continue unabated,” said Manishi Raychaudhuri, head of Asia-Pacific equity research at BNP Paribas.

“Therefore, today’s recovery in Asian equities appears to be a technical rebound, in our view.”

Investors will closely watch any moves by the US Federal Reserve as its officials begin taking stock of how the Russia-Ukraine conflict might influence the economy and their planned shift to tighter monetary policy.

“Ukraine or no Ukraine, the US faces inflation that is running at a 40-year high. If inflation continues to print above expectations and run hot, then the Fed may still have to stick with its aggressive path this year. This is what could make trading difficult for Asian emerging markets, both currencies and stock markets,” IG Asia analyst Daniel Dubrovsky said.

Singapore’s dollar firmed 0.2 percent and the South Korean won reversed losses to gain 0.1 percent, while Indonesia’s rupiah and the Malaysian ringgit were up 0.1 percent each.

Asian equities tracked overnight Wall Street gains to jump higher, with Indian shares leading gains.

Shares in South Korea, Singapore, Indonesia and Thailand gained in the range of 0.5 percent to 1 percent, while Malaysian stocks jumped 1.7 percent.

The Singapore index is, however, on track for a 4 percent weekly loss, its biggest drop in more than nine months. Kuala Lumpur shares were headed for their biggest weekly fall since January 28.

European bank shares also rebounded early on Friday from steep falls a day earlier, even as bankers wrestle with the impact of a slew of sanctions following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Shares of leading banks rose with the European banking sector trading up 1.3 percent. That is only a partial recovery from an 8 percent fall on Thursday.

Russia closes its airspace to British airlines

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Russia has banned British airlines from landing at its airports or crossing its airspace, its state civil aviation regulator said on Friday.

The move follows London’s ban on the flights of Russian flag carrier Aeroflot imposed in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

“A restriction was introduced on the use of Russian airspace for flights of aircrafts owned, leased or operated by an organisation linked to or registered in the UK,” the Rosaviatsia aviation authority said in a statement. 

The ban took effect from 11:00 am Moscow time (0800 GMT), it said, and included flights transiting through Russian airspace. 

Comments It said the decision was taken “as a response to unfriendly decisions of the UK aviation authorities”. 

India’s Modi and finance minister to discuss economic impact of Russia-Ukraine crisis

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 India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi will meet finance minister and other officials on Thursday evening to discuss the economic impact of Russia-Ukraine crisis and ways to mitigate the impact of rising crude oil prices, a government source told Reuters.

Russian forces fired missiles at several cities in Ukraine and landed troops on its coast on Thursday, officials and media said, after President Vladimir Putin authorised what he called a special military operation.

Earlier, the Indian embassy in Ukraine said that special flights arranged to head to Kyiv to pick up Indian nationals were cancelled as the country’s airspace was closed.

Reuters

Indonesia requests Sri Lanka to ease import restrictions

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Indonesia has requested Sri Lanka to ease the import ban to ensure the sustainability of business activities between the two countries.

The request was made during a discussion between the Indonesian Ambassador to Sri Lanka, Dewi Gustina Tobing and Minister of Industries Wimal Weerawansa.

“The complementary relations between the two countries with the abundance of natural resources and intermediate products of Indonesia, combined with the growing industries of Sri Lanka, will make the partnership mutually beneficial for both sectors.

 Furthermore, Indonesia’s consumer products with good quality become another valuable alternative for Sri Lanka,” the Indonesian Embassy to Sri Lanka said today.

The Embassy said that during the discussion between Ambassador Dewi and Minister Weerawansa, both sides agreed on the importance of facilitating the business communities.

“They will ensure a more robust collaboration in industrial sectors between the two countries,” Heru Prayitno, Minister Counsellor of the Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia in Colombo said.

Minister Weerawansa also supported a statement made by Ambassador Dewi on the importance of commencing negotiations on the Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA) between Indonesia and Sri Lanka shortly.

This was earlier discussed between Ambassador Dewi and the Minister of Trade Bandula Gunawardhana.

“Through this PTA, Indonesia could support the industry of Sri Lanka to produce efficiently to increase the competitiveness of Sri Lanka in supplying local market as well as for export purposes. Thus, consumer products from Indonesia will also provide better option for the community,” said Ambassador Dewi.

Ambassador Dewi also updated Minister Weerawansa on the ongoing discussions between companies from both sides on aluminum products for Indonesian companies to supply to Sri Lanka.

They also discussed the Copra project to provide Sri Lankan industries an amount of 39,000 m3 ton copra from Indonesia. “These are the examples of beneficial collaboration between the two business communities. More collaboration is now being explored,” said Ambassador Dewi.

During the meeting, Minister Weerawansa also invited the Minister of Industry of Indonesia to visit Sri Lanka

Ceylinco Life retains its market leadership for 18th successive year

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Ceylinco Life has retained its market leadership in Sri Lanka’s life insurance sector for the 18th consecutive year with gross written premium income growing by 15.8 per cent to Rs 25.565 billion for the 12 months ending 31st December 2021.

With investment and other income of Rs 15.129 billion for the year, the Company ended 2021 with consolidated income of Rs 40.694 billion, an improvement of 10 per cent over 2020. Ceylinco Life’s investment portfolio grew by Rs 20.748 billion or 15.52 per cent over the 12 months to Rs 154.455 billion at the end of the year.

The Company’s Life Fund grew by 12 per cent to Rs 119.634 as at 31st December 2021, consequent to a transfer of Rs 11.803 billion, which was 25 per cent higher than the transfer made in respect of 2020.

Total assets grew by Rs 22.9 billion or 15.23 per cent over the year at a monthly average of more than Rs 1.9 billion to reach Rs 173.762 billion at the end of the year reviewed.

Ceylinco Life Managing Director/CEO Mr Thushara Ranasinghe said: “Our figures for 2021 demonstrate the importance of not allowing external factors to distract us from our fundamental purpose, which is to de-risk the future for more and more Sri Lankans through life insurance. 

The pressures of economic uncertainty and mercurial policies did pose a challenge to most businesses in 2021, but Ceylinco Life maintained its growth momentum by focusing on the evolving needs and concerns of its customer base.”

The Company paid Rs 12.736 billion in net claims and benefits to policyholders for the year under review, an increase of 3.8 per cent over the preceding year, and transferred Rs 4.5 billion to the shareholders fund, which stood at Rs 44.194 billion at the end of 2021.

Ceylinco Life’s basic earnings per share for the year amounted to Rs 137, while net assets value per share stood at Rs 883.88 as at 31st December 2021, an increase of 15.8 per cent.

Among the highlights of the year reviewed was the launch of two ground-breaking market responsive new products – ‘Future Saver’ and ‘Education Protector.’  Future Saver is a new paradigm life insurance product that offers protection as well as wealth accumulation, with an emphasis on the latter.

It is designed to enable policyholders to plan for long-term goals by passionately saving for a short period during which their financial stability is at its peak. Education Protector is an insurance plan designed exclusively for the purpose of ensuring the continued education of children.  

It enables a parent to, with just a single one-time premium payment, secure the future education prospects of a child in the event of his or her inability to do so due to death or total and permanent disability.

Adjudged Sri Lanka’s Service Brand of the Year by the Sri Lanka Institute of Marketing (SLIM) and voted the ‘Most Popular Service Provider’ in Sri Lanka’s Life Insurance industry in 2021, Ceylinco Life has been the country’s leading life insurer for more than half of the 33 years it has been in existence. Ceylinco Life has close to a million lives covered by active policies and is acknowledged as a benchmark in the local insurance sector for innovation, product research and development, customer service, professional development, sustainability, and corporate social responsibility

“Stop Putin” – Ukrainians in SL protest in front of the Russian Embassy in Colombo

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The Ukrainian community in Sri Lanka launched a protest in front of the Russian Embassy in Colombo today against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine which has plunged Europe into a turmoil.

The Ukrainians are calling on the Russian authorities to halt the ongoing invasion of Ukraine.

The protesting Ukrainians are seen chanting while holding various placards addressed towards the Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Photos: Ajith Seneviratne

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Stop the persecution of Easter attack investigators and ensure justice for victims.

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267 innocent citizens lost their lives while over 500 suffered life changing injuries as a result of the heinous terrorist attack which took place in Sri Lanka on April 21, 2019. But despite a lapse of three years since the attack on that fateful Easter Sunday, we are yet to witness a fair investigation into the incident. Inevitably, as a result, a concerning but reasonable suspicion on the attack and ensuing events has now arisen among the public.

In this background, for nearly three years, the victims of the Easter Sunday attack continue to call out for justice they rightly deserve, not only for themselves, but for their families and loved ones while remaining hopeful that it will be delivered in due course. 

However, due to the recent actions of the current Rajapaksa Government, it is doubtful there is any intention on the part of the authorities to ensure that justice is served for the pain and suffering endured by the victims of the terrorist attack. This is due to the inexcusable delay in bringing to justice or exposing to the public the real culprits of the Easter attack and the terrorists who either directly or indirectly aided or abetted it.

Meanwhile, it also must be noted that there is no reasonable evidence to suggest that the Government’s continued failures on the issue of justice for victims of the Easter attack and instead its interest in arresting and/or imprisoning law enforcement officers and investigators who carried out the investigations to uncover those responsible for the Easter attack is not a self-serving political decision.

Therefore, the persecution of investigators that were in search of the perpetrators instead of delivering justice to the victims is a far greater act of terror than the Easter Sunday attack itself. As such, we urge the authorities to immediately put an end to these politically motivated witch hunts.

Stop the witch hunt against Shani Abeysekara!

Shani Abeysekara was a state employee who did his job by the book, according to the information available to us.

However, Shani was more than that: he was an excellent investigator who produced results from challenging cases that he was assigned. He did his duty under different governments and under different superior officers. The Leader of the Opposition has also stated that given the Government’s programme of targeting a former CID official, a doubt arises as to whether the Government is trying to “kill him naturally, in a planned manner.”

This is a very serious and dangerous situation. He does not deserve to be imprisoned; subjected to vindictive prison transfers; denied proper medical treatment. He should not have to fear for his life but has moved the Supreme Court for protection.

A Fundamental Rights (FR) petition, filed last week by Shani Abeysekara, has alleged that State and Military intelligence agencies had diverted investigations into the suspects who were linked to the Easter Sunday attacks.

Meanwhile, the Government has buckled under pressure and made public the entirety of the report of the Presidential Commission on the Easter attack. The full record will show that Shani Abeysekara was the best officer on the job, who would have produced even better results if not for documented obstructions.

Those who obstructed his investigations are the ones who should be held accountable under the normal procedures that apply to police officers and the military.  

If Shani Abeysekara’s persecution continues, it is a powerful signal to all law-abiding officers of the state. If by this persecution, the government succeeds in browbeating and making all Government servants servile, that would mean that Sri Lanka would cease to be a country with the rule of law; it would mean that we will all be made servile and dependent on the favors and permissions of powerful politicians. That is why it is in our interest to stand with Shani Abeysekara at this critical moment.

Politicians are not the owners of this country; they are merely the trustees. By persecuting a diligent state official, they are violating that sacred trust. They are desecrating our inheritance.

We demand they stop. We demand that the persecution of Shani Abeysekara cease and for the authorities to direct their resources into apprehending the real conspirators of the Easter Sunday attack.

Thank You.

Radical Centre

Jayani Abeysekara – Harendran Krishnasamy – Keshal Jayasinghe – C.S. Kodikara – Firo Farook

    (Convenor)

2022.02.25

Why the West is reluctant to deny Russian banks access to SWIFT

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WITH RUSSIA’S invasion of Ukraine in full swing, the West is scrambling to respond. That Vladimir Putin, Russia’s president, can back his imperial ambitions with nuclear arms has taken a shooting war with nato off the table. Economic retaliation is the weapon of choice. One obvious move would be to cut Russian banks’ access to swift, a messaging network used by 11,000 banks in 200 countries to make cross-border payments. Some Western governments favour pressing the co-operatively owned swift into cutting Russia off, but others do not. For now the measure remains off the list of sanctions outlined by the West. Why the reluctance?

There are three reasons. Start with the impact on Russia. The Kremlin has been bracing itself for the possibility of being cut off from swift since 2014, when America floated the idea as punishment for the invasion of Crimea. Exclusion would trigger capital flight and a run on firms and banks reliant on foreign funding, but coping mechanisms would soon kick in. Russian banks and their foreign partners would use other means of communication. And transactions would migrate en masse to spfs, a Russian alternative to SWIFT that is not nearly as ubiquitous and sophisticated, but still usable. That would cause some disruption—but not disaster. Over time, investment in spfs would make the system speedier.

Second, the West, and European countries in particular, would face short-term costs. swift disconnected Iranian banks in 2018, but Russia is far bigger. Russia is the eu’s fifth-largest trading partner. It is the source of 35% of Europe’s gas supply and it is home to €310bn ($350bn) of eu assets. Cutting Russia off from swift could make it harder for international buyers to pay for its energy supplies; it could also prompt Russian retaliation.

Last, using swift as a weapon against Russia could hurt long-term American interests. America holds sway over international finance thanks to the dollar’s dominance and its pre-eminent role in global settlement systems. Further politicising swift would give China an incentive to bolster cips, its rival to swift for cross-border payments in yuan. It would also help China court any country with uneasy relations with America looking for alternatives. It already counts some big foreign banks as members. By late 2021 it had a daily average volume of transactions of 310bn yuan ($50bn)—well behind swift’s estimated $400bn but nearly double the volume of a year before.

Other weapons of economic disruption are at hand. America has blacklisted big Russian financial institutions, preventing its own banks from dealing with them, and imposed strict export controls. These measures are narrower in scope than disconnecting Russia from swift, but the risk of undermining the global financial architecture is less great.

www.economist.com

Harin Fernando states that he is ready for any inquiry

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Samagi Jana Balawegaya MP Harin Fernando states that he is ready for any inquiry into the incident that took place in Parliament. He was addressing Parliament today.

Harin Fernando was accused in Parliament yesterday of bringing a suspicious parcel into Parliament and obstructing the duties of the protesting police officers.

At the commencement of parliamentary sittings today, Speaker Karu Jayasuriya stated that the IGP has been instructed to conduct a speedy investigation into the incident.

Making a special statement with the permission of the Speaker, Fernando stated that he had brought only his bag and a torch to Parliament. He added that his bag was checked by a searching machine and it was confirmed that there was nothing dangerous in it.

Fernando points out that he did not interfere in the affairs of the police in any way and says that he is ready to face any investigation in this regard.

‘Russia is against war’: Thousands rally in rare show of dissent

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In the morning, Russian President Vladimir Putin had ordered what he called a “military operation” into Ukraine after months of tensions with Kyiv and its Western allies.

In a speech before the attacks began, Putin claimed he had been left with “no other option” but to invade Ukraine because “the war machine is moving and … coming close to our borders”, referring to NATO.

Russian forces attacked far beyond the conflict-ridden zones of eastern Ukraine, where Moscow-backed separatists run areas recently recognised by the Kremlin as independent, with air attacks hitting apartment blocks in Kharkiv and beyond.

By night, as Ukrainians fled to escape their country, thousands in Russia, where protests are tightly restricted, rallied in solidarity.

While East-West frictions grew over Russia’s military build-up at the Ukrainian border these past few months, dissent in the world’s largest nation was limited to a handful of one-person pickets.

Few here believed the standoff would actually lead to war.

But after Putin opened what has been described as one of Europe’s “darkest chapters” since the Second World War, dissent has sharply risen.