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 Central Bank says political stability key to  SL economic recovery: 

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The Central Bank has warned that economic recovery and current efforts to restore Sri Lanka’s economic stability rests on “reassuring social coherence and restoring political stability and an enduring political will, to take this reform agenda forward”.

In its annual report for 2021 released last week, it said ongoing efforts to resolve the economic issues, including the suspension of external debt servicing by the Government for an interim period pending orderly and consensual restructuring of debt obligations.

CB noted that  in  seeking an economic adjustment programme from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), a commitment is needed to rationalising government expenditure and enhancing government revenue, and continuing non-aligned political and economic diplomacy, among others.

These factors are essential for to restore macroeconomic stability in the period ahead, the Central Bank’s annual report highlighted. 

The Sri Lankan economy recovered in 2021 from the pandemic induced contraction in 2020, albeit with several deeply entrenched structural problems and vulnerabilities inherited over several decades coming to the forefront, thereby resulting in unprecedented socio-political tensions in early 2022.

“However, given particular vulnerabilities in the economy, the Central Bank had to be heavily involved in shielding the economy through extraordinary responses, in the form of monetary policy easing, ample liquidity provision to the markets and the Government.

It will be adopting several external sector and financial sector policies, in the absence of adequate policy space in the fiscal sector or an adequately prompt response from the fiscal sector,” the report said.

The outcome of the exchange rate flexibility that was thereafter allowed also in early March 2022, fell short of expectations due to the large overshooting by market forces, reflecting the significant liquidity pressures that prevailed in the domestic foreign exchange market as well as the delay in market correction.

“Price stability, which was the strongest pillar for macroeconomic stability over the last decade or so, was challenged since the second half of 2021 due to the combined impact of global and local supply driven causes as well as the build-up of excessive demand pressures on prices, primarily caused by the lagged impact of extraordinary monetary accommodation, including unprecedented monetary financing that became required due to the lack of fiscal space,” it said.

The external sector remained on the brink of a precarious state since late 2021 due to the mounting Balance of Payments (BOP) pressures reflected in the meagre level of official reserves amidst significant debt servicing obligations along with the dire need to finance essential imports at a time when the domestic foreign exchange market remained largely illiquid.

UN High Commissioner for HR  urges restraint, and  dialogue in SL

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UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Michelle Bachelet on Tuesday called on the authorities in Sri Lanka to prevent further violence, and urged restraint and meaningful dialogue to address the grievances of the population amid the severe economic crisis in the country.

“I am deeply troubled by the escalation of violence in Sri Lanka after supporters of the Prime Minister attacked peaceful protestors in Colombo yesterday 9 May and the subsequent mob violence against members of the ruling party,” Bachelet said.

Seven people have died during the incidents – including a Member of Parliament and two local officials, over 250 were injured, and the properties of others were destroyed by arson throughout the country.

“I condemn all violence and call on the authorities to independently, thoroughly and transparently investigate all attacks that have occurred. It is crucial to ensure that those found responsible, including those inciting or organising violence, are held to account.”

The High Commissioner also called on the authorities to prevent further violence and to protect the right to peaceful assembly.

“Authorities, including military personnel deployed in support of security forces, should exercise restraint in policing the situation and ensure that measures adopted in the context of the state of emergency comply with international human rights norms and are not used to stifle dissent or hinder peaceful protest,” she stressed.

The State has a responsibility to ensure the right to life and to exercise due diligence to protect the lives of individuals against violence by private individuals or entities.

The severe economic crisis has made daily life a struggle for most Sri Lankans. It has also highlighted grievances, which require national dialogue and deeper structural reforms, Bachelet said. It has brought together people from various ethnicities and religions to demand greater transparency, accountability and participation in democratic life.

“I urge the Sri Lankan Government to engage in meaningful dialogue with all parts of society to find a pathway forward and address the socio-economic challenges people, especially vulnerable and marginalized groups, are facing. I call on the Government to address the broader political and systemic root causes that have long perpetuated discrimination and undermined human rights.”

Bachelet said the UN Human Rights Office will continue to closely watch and report on the situation in the country. She expressed hope that Sri Lanka would find a peaceful solution to the current crisis to alleviate people’s suffering, strengthen democracy and human rights, and prevent further violence.

SL  trade and commerce organizations call for an interim government 

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Joint Chambers together with Institute of Chartered Accountants of Sri Lanka and Joint Apparel Association Forum call upon the President to take immediate steps to appoint a competent person as the interim Prime Minister and a small Cabinet of Ministers to be appointed in consultation with the Prime Minister acceptable to all leading political parties represented in Parliament. 

This must be done with immediate effect in order to take urgent action to restore law and  order and economic activity in the country.

Further, it is abundantly clear that concluding the IMF staff level agreement in a timely manner as planned, could be jeopardized due to the absence of a legitimate government, Joint Chambers and Chartered Accountants of Sri Lanka said. . 

While awaiting the IMF program, it is critical that Sri Lanka secures Bridge Financing to help get through the next six months, they added.

They also called upon all political parties to leave aside their political agendas and differences in order to support the formation of an interim government under a leadership accepted by all

Joint chambers and CA Sri Lanka has urged the expediting of much needed constitutional amendment to repeal the 20th amendment and abolishment of the executive presidency within a reasonable timeframe through a consensual approach.

These organizations requested the President to respect the voice of the public and resigns immediately after the interim government is firmly in place.

They appealed to the people of this country to remain calm and not resort to violence that will make it even harder for the country to emerge from this crisis while urging  all religious leaders to advise the public on the need to desist from violence while expressing their voice in a peaceful manner as done so effectively up to yesterday. 

In a statement the Joint Apparel Association Forum (JAAF) noted that the violence that erupted on the streets of Colombo and in other parts of Sri Lankaon Monday, and the resultant loss of life is both unfortunate and deeply saddening. 

They  call upon leaders and authorities to immediately restore political stability across the country. They should also ensure a safe living and working environment for all people, as the country  collectively navigates through this very difficult crisis.

By the same token, they strongly support the efforts taken by the Bar Association of Sri Lanka to ensure a peaceful, democratic transition of power. It is critical that a new government be appointed urgently to all the current political vacuum.

India reiterates support for SLs democracy, stability and economic recovery

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India has enormous security and strategic interests in Sri Lanka and it is ready to reinforce economic engagement with its southern neighbor ata time where the country is engulfed with widespread rioting of the people..

 These attacks had been carried out by ruling party supporters against crowds protesting at the government’s handling of the economic crisis at Galle face green in Colombo  injuring 78 people.

This  unruly attack triggered countrywide riots of the people against ruling party  local government members and parliamentarians who were behind the attack on anti government protesters. 

Police said violence throughout the island on Monday 09  has resulted in eight deaths and number of arson attacks on houses and properties.More than 230 have been injured in those incidents.

47 vehicles and 38 houses came under arson attack, while 41 vehicles and 65 houses had been severely damaged. Most of the vehicles and houses destroyed belonged to former ministers or MPs of the ruling party.

In this back drop of socio economic instability and public unrest, ironies abound as India hastens to come to the aid of Sri Lanka, a close neighbour, ravaged by economic mismanagement and food and fuel shortages, diplomatic sources said. 

The dire state of the Sri Lankan economy, probably its worst ever, has provided India with its best chance to regain primacy in the region after the Covid pandemic and some unfortunate domestic decisions saw its vaunted ‘neighbourhood first’ policy in deep distress, political analyts said. 

As a close neighbour, India has reiterated its support for the democracy, stability and economic recovery of Sri Lanka.

The official spokesperson of India’s Ministry of External Affairs has conveyed this in response to media queries on the recent developments on the island nation, the Indian High Commission in Colombo said.

“As a close neighbour of Sri Lanka, with historical ties, India is fully supportive of its (Sri Lanka’s) democracy, stability and economic recovery.”

The spokesperson also recalled that India, in keeping with its Neighbourhood First policy, has extended this year alone support worth over US$ 3.5 billion to Sri Lanka to help overcome the ongoing crises.

India  has also expressed willingness to commit up to another $2 billion in financial assistance to Sri Lanka while also supporting the island nation with food and fuel.

 Official spokesman noted that  “India will always be guided by the best interests of the people of Sri Lanka expressed through democratic processes.”

Ceylon Chamber Demands to Protect Fundamental Rights of Citizens

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The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce is alarmed by the violent attacks on protesters outside Temple Trees and at Galle Face and calls upon the Government and the armed forces to take immediate action to prevent peaceful demonstrators being attacked.

An impartial investigation should be carried out to identify those responsible and hold them accountable, the CCC said in a statement.

Failure to take immediate action to protect the fundamental rights of citizens will result in grave repercussions on the maintenance of law and order and disrupt the ongoing initiatives to resolve the serious economic and political crises faced by the country.

Inspector-General of Police (IGP) C.D. Wickramaratne has directed the Criminal Investigation Department to initiate a probe into the attacks on the anti-government protesters outside the Temple Trees and at the Galle Face Green.

A mob of government supporters who met with former PM Mahinda Rajapaksa at the Temple Trees last morning (May 09) was seen assaulting the peaceful protesters and damaging the properties nearby.

In retaliation anti-government protesters have set on fire  32 Houses of several lawmakers including the ex Prime Minister  ,several ministers . MPS and members of provincial councils  local government institutions and pradeshiya sabhas claiming they were behind the mob attack on Galle Force demonstrators, local media reported on Monday.Seven people have died and more than 190 have been injured since Monday following  the mob attack sponsored by the government  at Mina Go Gama in Colombo Galle face and  the subsequent wide rioting in retaliation by  the people.

Construction contractors engaged in public projects face cash crunch 

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Sri Lanka’s construction industry is facing thousands of job losses and a steep decline in construction projects due to increasing costs of raw materials, paired with a fuel and electricity crisis.

Construction is one of the key sectors that has boosted the country’s overall economic growth in the past. The sector provides employment for nearly 1 million people including 600,000 direct jobs.

Sri Lanka’s construction contractors involved in public infrastructure and building projects are now in a difficult situation with the Finance Ministry’s decision to suspend almost all such projects in bid to curtail capital expenditure, several leading contractors complained, adding that many are still to receive their due payments from the Treasury for completed and ongoing projects running up to billions of rupees.

Unpaid claims of road contractors and contractors of other development projects carried forward stood at over Rs.35.2 billion since 2019 and the final amount of dues up to this year is still to be finalised, a Finance Ministry official said.

The payments for last year were also overdue up to some extent as the Treasury had not settled the payments in accordance with the date of the agreement, he added.

The Ministry has taken a decision to phase-out the contractors’ payment for five years for the work done in development projects including express highways following the pandemic and the current economic crisis, he disclosed.

Majority of the previous outstanding bills, including that of the previous Government, have been approved and settled by the respective ministries. About Rs. 243 billion worth of bills have been settled in 2020 out of the long overdue amount of Rs. 400 billion to the contractors, he revealed.

However there were carried forward dues for contractors which have to be settled after a comprehensive review on the progress of their work in state projects as some of them were suspended midway, he added.

Such affected contractors should apply to the Public Finance Department of the Treasury for a redress, he said, adding that the payments will have to be further delayed under the present crisis situation.

Around 75 per cent of construction work in the country has come to a standstill owing to the increase in the cost of building materials together with the spike in fuel prices, says the National Construction Association of Sri Lanka.

Its Vice President, M.D. Paul stated that the price of a cube of sand has increased by over Rs. 8,000 to almost Rs.22,000, after the fuel price hikes. However, since the fuel price hikes also increase all transport costs, a cube of sand now costs Rs.30,000, he added. Moreover, metals, and all other building material costs have increased by 60 to 70 per cent..

With over 70 percent of depreciation in the rupee currency since March 7, the cement prices have risen to near 3,000 rupees from 850 rupees during the Covid-19 pandemic, industry stake holders say. 

And the price hike along with severe shortage of cement had made it hard for the industry.

Importers stated that they are turning away from traditional vendors like China and India, and turning to Bangladesh for their cheaper, albeit low quality cement.And the job losses are already felt by the industry now.

“Due to several factors causing a debilitating impact, over 100,000 jobs will be lost within the next 3 months, unless immediate remedial action is taken.” Nissanka N. Wijeratne, the Secretary General/CEO Chamber of Construction Industry.

Meteorological Department warns of heavy showers

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The Department of Meteorology announced that showers or thundershowers will occur at times in Western, Sabaragamuwa, and Central provinces, and in Galle and Matara districts.

Fairly heavy showers above 75mm may occur at some places in these areas. Several spells of showers will occur in Northern, North-central, and North-western provinces.

Winds speed can increase up to (40-50) kmph at times over the island, particularly in the Western slope of the Central hills, Northern, North-central, North-western, and Southern provinces.

No photo description available.

Namal says Mahinda will not leave the country

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Former Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa and his family will not leave the country, says former Minister Namal Rajapaksa.

“There are a lot of rumors that we are leaving. We will not leave the country ”

“My father is safe. He is in a safe place. I talk to my family ”

“We are always with our people”

He had stated this to the French News Agency (AFP) yesterday (10) afternoon.

To the Sisters of My Motherland

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Photo courtesy of The Week

My beautiful motherland, ravaged by invaders and damaged by internal conflict over the centuries, is now drowning in the depths of economic despair. There is no respite in sight for the people who are going through physical, emotional and financial distress at present. At this challenging moment in Sri Lanka’s post-independence history, as a woman, I think it is important to talk about the courage, sacrifice and endurance of the women of my motherland.

My sisters, you watched your fathers, brothers and husbands lose their lives to senseless violence in the insurgencies of 1971 and 1989, the Black July of 1983, the violent three decade war orchestrated by selfish and greedy political forces that feared the unity of the common people and numerous episodes of state sponsored killings and abduction. Even in the face of so much loss, you hid your pain and fulfilled your duties towards your loved ones, educated and caring for your children and worked untiringly to fill the earnings void created by the untimely demise of the men in your families.

For decades we relied on the foreign earnings generated by sending you to slave away as housemaids in oil rich countries and watched on as your families were torn apart in the absence of a mother and you endured abuse and exploitation at the hands of your cruel masters. There was only sham concern from those in power when you returned home with horrific injuries or even worse, in sealed coffins. While this government should have borne the expenses of your safe repatriation during the pandemic, they only looted any remaining savings many of you had by letting their cronies charge you a king’s ransom for flights and quarantine.

When official foreign exchange inflows dwindled in the face of the Central Bank’s disastrous and unsustainable soft peg of Rs. 200 to 203 per dollar amid unprecedented growth in money supply at the hands of the crook who was governing the Central Bank at the time until their belated decision to float the rupee in March 2022, the authorities simply appropriated the blame for the entire situation on you by accusing you of using unofficial channels to remit your earnings instead of accepting the basic economic explanation for the fiasco (a price ceiling resulting in excess demand and the emergence of a black market), another example of the government’s strategy of blame shifting in their pathetic efforts to cling to power. Despite never appreciating your contribution and sacrifice, it took only about six months of diminished foreign remittances for the government to go bankrupt. Against this backdrop, the new Finance Minister, as soon as he assumed office last month, declared that sending dollars to Sri Lanka at this time is a bigger sacrifice than sending your child to war, a statement in very poor taste indeed that puts into perspective the sorrows of mothers who lost their sons to armed conflict.

Thousands of you spent the best years of your lives married to sewing machines at garment factories to generate 40% of the export earnings for our country. Yet, some shameless media outlets did not hesitate to taint your character and blame you for the spread of Covid-19 infections. At the same time, the sisters working in the estate sector continue to carry tea baskets on your backs to contribute towards 14% of the country’s export earnings in return for paltry wages and mediaeval working conditions while the men that you elect to represent you are busy building dynasties and filling their purses.

Throughout Covid-19 lockdowns, many of you struggled to feed your families when salaries were halved or put or hold or daily paid jobs went out of existence and lamented the nearly two years of education your children lost, while the more affluent of you who could afford smartphones and other devices, despite not having to worry too much about putting food on the table, still faced the added responsibility of supervising your children’s online learning while working from home.

When it comes to the wives and partners of corrupt politicians, in view of the suffering your men have inflicted upon ordinary people, I cannot bring myself to pity you; your daughters I do pity ever so slightly since they did not choose to be fathered by these men. Indeed, it is quite possible that you are never married these men willingly but were instead forced into these unions of power and ill-gotten wealth by your parents or due to other extenuating circumstances. Perhaps you are prevented from voicing your opinion within your domiciles and you have been rendered lifeless, reduced to mere androids whose only job is to bear children, smile and look pretty in public by these wicked, immoral men who have proven again and again that they are incapable of any emotions or humanity.

Coming back to the trials faced by the hardworking sisters of my country, the government continues to cripple ordinary citizens with taxes on essential food products, forcing you to forfeit your family’s nutrition and go hungry in order to feed your husbands and children; they make you stand in queues for hours to purchase overpriced and sub-standard fuel for vehicles and LP gas cylinders with a high risk of combustibility; and they continue to impose the accursed half days of power cuts that affect your daily lives so much and have forced your families to bear an inflation tax in the form of the skyrocketing cost of living.

Gross female tertiary enrolment is 27% as opposed to only 17% for men and 40.6% of students enrolled in tertiary STEM programs are women yet female representation in middle and senior management is 23% and we rank 116 out of 156 countries in the World Economic Forum’s Global Gender Gap Index. Despite having produced the world’s first female prime minister female representation in government sits at 5.33% a stark contrast to countries like India (14%), Pakistan (20%) and Nepal (33%); even the women that continue who survive in the foul political landscape are constantly plagued by sexual overtures and libel. Of course, the men in power would not risk women coming in and creating a political culture of humanity and accountability. Despite the numerous disadvantages you face, you continue to persevere, not only fulfilling the responsibilities towards your families but also towards wider society by being at the forefront of protests to oust this murderous, corrupt government.

Dear sisters, there is no easy way out of the present economic crisis. You will be hit with mass scale unemployment, further crippling taxes and curbed public services as the conditions imposed by the IMF and other institutions that step in to bail out Sri Lanka from the present debt crisis take effect over time. You will have to endure an extended period of pain and economic deprivation but throughout history you have demonstrated your ability to remain strong in the face of adversity and overcome the many curved balls thrown at you, so hang in there my dear sisters, for your courage and endurance creates hope for a better tomorrow.

GROUND VIEWS

China-backed projects testament to Sri Lanka’s mismanagement

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HAMBANTOTA: An airport without planes, a revolving restaurant with no diners, a debt-laden seaport — Sri Lanka’s economic crisis has been exacerbated by Chinese-funded projects that stand as neglected monuments to government extravagance.

The South Asian island nation borrowed heavily to plug years of budget shortfalls and trade deficits, but squandered huge sums on ill-considered infrastructure projects that have further drained public finances.

It is now in the grip of its worst financial crisis since independence from Britain in 1948, with months of blackouts and acute shortages of food and fuel plaguing its 22 million people.

After weeks of largely peaceful protests demanding the government resign over its economic mismanagement, things turned violent Monday after pro-government supporters clashed with demonstrators, leaving five people dead and at least 225 wounded.

Many of the white-elephant projects that helped fuel the crisis now gather dust in Hambantota district, home of the powerful Rajapaksa clan, which used its political clout and billions in Chinese loans in a failed effort to turn the rural outpost into a major economic hub.

Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa — who commissioned many of the projects — announced his resignation Monday, the same day the anti-government protests turned violent.

But his younger brother Gotabaya remains president.

The centrepiece of the infrastructure drive was a deep seaport on the world’s busiest east-west shipping lane, which was meant to spur industrial activity.

Instead, it has haemorrhaged money from the moment it began operations.

“We were very hopeful when the projects were announced, and this area did get better,” Dinuka, a long-time resident of Hambantota, told AFP.

“But now it means nothing. That port is not ours and we are struggling to live.”

The Hambantota port was unable to service the $1.4 billion in Chinese loans rung up to finance its construction, losing $300 million in six years.

In 2017, a Chinese state-owned company was handed a 99-year lease for the seaport — a deal that sparked concerns across the region that Beijing had secured a strategic toehold in the Indian Ocean.

Overlooking the port is another Chinese-backed extravagance: a $15.5 million conference centre that has been largely unused since it opened.

Nearby is the Rajapaksa Airport, built with a $200 million loan from China, which is so sparingly used that at one point it was unable to cover its electricity bill.

In the capital Colombo, there is the Chinese-funded Port City project — an artificial 665-acre island set up with the aim of becoming a financial hub rivalling Dubai.

But critics have already sounded off on the project becoming a “hidden debt trap”.

Biggest bilateral lender – China is the government’s biggest bilateral lender and owns at least 10 percent of its $51 billion external debt.

But analysts believe the true number is substantially higher if loans to state-owned firms and Sri Lanka’s central bank are taken into account.

The borrowing contributed to Sri Lanka’s dire fiscal predicament, after years of taking loans to cover spiralling budget deficits and to finance the imported products needed to keep the island’s economy ticking over.

“Fiscal profligacy over many decades and weak governance… got us into trouble,” Murtaza Jafferjee, chairman of Sri Lanka’s Advocata Institute think tank, told AFP.

The economic woes weighed heavy after the coronavirus pandemic torpedoed vital revenue from tourism and remittances, leaving the import-dependent country unable to purchase essential goods from abroad.

‘China has done its best’ – Unable to service its growing debt burden, and with credit rating downgrades drying up sources of fresh loans on the international money market, Sri Lanka’s government last month announced a default on its foreign loan obligations.

It had sought to renegotiate its repayment schedule with China, but Beijing instead offered more bilateral loans to repay existing borrowings.

That proposal was scuttled by Sri Lanka’s appeal for help to the International Monetary Fund — a move that has aroused consternation as Chinese lenders will now likely need to take a haircut on their loans.

“China has done its best to help Sri Lanka not to default but sadly they went to the IMF and decided to default,” Chinese ambassador Qi Zhenhong told reporters last month.

For many Sri Lankans, the largely unused infrastructure projects have become potent symbols of the Rajapaksa clan’s mismanagement.

“We are neck-deep in loans already,” said Krishantha Kulatunga, owner of a small stationery store in Colombo.

Kulatunga’s business sits near the entrance to the Lotus Tower, a floral-shaped skyscraper bankrolled by Chinese funds.

The tower’s colourful glass facade dominates the capital’s skyline but its interior — and a planned revolving restaurant with panoramic views of the city — has never been opened to the public.

“What is the point of being proud of this tower if we are left begging for food?” asked Kulatunga.

Times of India