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Health Ministry warns risk of dengue increases with prevailing weather conditions

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The number of dengue cases may increase due to the prevailing rainy weather conditions, said the Ministry of Health in a warning to the public.

In a statement the Ministry noted that the number of dengue cases may surge in the next two-to-three weeks with the eggs laid by dengue mosquitoes as their activity has improvised with the rainy weather of the past few days.

The Ministry also urged the public to keep their surrounding environments clean so that mosquitoes cannot breed, adding that anyone sustaining fever for more than 24 hours should be taken for treatment from a qualified medical doctor.

Accordingly, the Health Ministry is urging the public not to get exposed to mosquito bites.

With 1,152 cases of dengue being reported in the last week, a total of 59,317 cases have been identified this year, disclosed the National Dengue Control Unit.

The Unit added that 19,912 cases were reported in the first ten months of 2021 and the figure has significantly surged this year, with the highest number of cases being found in Colombo, Gampaha and Kalutara districts.

Meanwhile, Kandy, Galle, Jaffna, Kegalle, Puttalam and Kurunegala districts have also reported a higher number of dengue cases in 2022 compared to the year before.

Measures have been taken to declare 36 medical officer divisions as high risk zones given the spread of the disease, said the National Dengue Control Unit.

MIAP

Scopes assigned to four state ministries

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Scopes have been assigned to four state ministries of the Sri Lanka Government by the Cabinet Ministry under which each state ministry operates.

Accordingly, the State Ministry of Power and Energy, the State Ministry of Mass Media, the State Ministry of Transport and Highways and the State Ministry of Health meet their scopes as follows;

State Ministry of Power and Energy:

  • Ceylon Petroleum Corporation,
  • Ceylon Petroleum Stock Terminal Company,
  • Trincomalee Petroleum Terminal Company,
  • Sri Lanka Petroleum Development Authority

State Ministry of Mass Media:

  • Postal Department,
  • Department Of Government Printing,
  • Sri Lanka Press Institute

State Ministry of Health:

  • Private Medical Regulatory Council,
  • 1990 Suvasarya Foundation,
  • National Tobacco and Alcohol Authority,
  • Department of Ayurveda,
  • Ayurvedic Medical Council,
  • Sri Lanka Ayurvedic Medicines Corporation

State Ministry of Transport:

Four institutes including;

  • Department of Motor Traffic
  • National Road Safety Council
  • National Institute of Transport Medicine

State Ministry of Highways:

  • Controlled companies under the Road Development Authority and Sahasya Investments Limited

In addition, the Maga Neguma Unit and the State Development and Design Corporation have been assigned to the State Ministry of Rural Road Development.

MIAP

Next Aragalaya will target Nandalal & Siriwardana

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Nandalal Weerasinghe who was overlooked 4 times for the post of Governor moved to Australia to spend his retirement. Came back hurriedly to accept the appointment of Governor that had eluded him several times, when Cabraal was forced to resign by the Finance Minister, no one had wanted the job. The Governor’s first action was increasing rates by 100% and defaulting on a $ 78 Million USD payment.

The outcome of his appointment six months later is pandemonium in the markets. If this policy supported by Siriwardana is continued, it wont be long before local banks collapse because borrowers can’t service the loans. A collapse of the banking system could result in an unrepairable damage to the economy.

The huge increase in interest rates has also caused a shock to the informal economy. Nandalal according to some analysts has had no expertise beyond the CBSL and has been reacting in a straight jacket to the crisis. Why do we need an expensive Central Bank funded by the tax payers if the outcome is only economic mayhem.

Now the CBSL Governor with his sidekick Mahinda Siriwardana has brought in a set of tax proposals on behalf of the IMF that will end up not being “pay as you earn” but “pay everything you earn” What does the Tax Payer get in return? Not even social security. His own EPF and ETF too is embezzled by the CBSL. The entire tax revenue is misappropriated by officials and Politicians.

The new tax proposals clearly shows there is a total lack of consultation and has been done on the behest of the IMF. This is now clearly evident. The tax proposals need to be modified before implementation or else the next Aragalaya will end up in Nandalal’s and Siriwardana’s house. Both of them earn more than 2 million a month tax free salaries and in addition are on an IMF USD pension. Both of them have been put by the government to negotiate on behalf of the 22 million people.

In addition, Nandalal is a Australian PR.

The President and the government need their heads examined to put a team like this to negotiate with the IMF. For a start they are conflicted and lacks experience.

The government must modify the tax proposals or face extinct, whilst Nandalal and Weerasinghe will continue in office with the support Sajith Premadasa. The opposition leader has clearly demonstrated that political advantage is more important than the country’s interest. The Threshold for tax must be made 1.2 million annually, Change the rate of tax from 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, 25%, and must be capped at 30%. Make withholding tax on interest a final tax for individuals, increase the rate to 10% with a senior citizen relief of Rs 1.2 million per annum.

We cannot allow bureaucratic parasites feeding on Sri Lankan taxpayers to destroy the livelihoods of ordinary law abiding people. Former Minister Weerawanse for a change was spot on when he said Nandalal Weerasinghe was paving the way for a revolution. What can he do if the President of the Country has no backbone.

Bangladesh expects Sri Lanka to repay the debt of $200 million next year

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Bangladesh is hopeful that Sri Lanka will repay the debt of $200 million that it owes to the country by March 2023.

Abdur Rouf Talukder, governor of Bangladesh Bank, provided a positive outlook on the matter after a meeting with his Sri Lankan counterpart Nandalal Weerasinghe in the United States.

The central bank chief is now in Washington, DC, to attend the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank.

The two governors held a discussion on the sidelines of the seven-day event which began at the World Bank headquarters on Tuesday.

Speaking to reporters on Thursday, Talukder said, “We [Bangladesh] gave $200 million to Sri Lanka under a currency swap agreement. But due to Sri Lanka’s economic crisis, they could not return the money on time.”

In light of the crippling economic crisis that gripped the island nation, Bangladesh twice extended the deadline for repayment on Sri Lanka’s request, Talukder noted. “Sri Lanka is supposed to return it in three instalments in February and March 2023.”

On the talks with Weerasinghe, Talukder said, “We had a very good meeting. The governor assured me that they will meet the deadline for repayment. They are now restructuring their debts and have spoken to India, Japan and China about it.”

“And Sri Lanka is also working on a deal with the IMF that has also been roughly confirmed. A final agreement on the program will probably be reached between November and December.”

Last year, Bangladesh agreed to give Sri Lanka loans of at least $200 million from its foreign exchange reserves under a currency swap deal.

The credit was to be repaid in installments over three months, the central bank said at the time. But as the economic and political crisis in Sri Lanka worsened, its external debt became unsustainable. With political stability gradually being restored, Sri Lanka is now moving towards repaying its debts.

Central bank governors from Commonwealth countries held a meeting on Friday. Bangladesh has been given the opportunity to chair the meeting, according to Talukder.

The governor is leading an 11-member Bangladeshi delegation at the annual event in place of Finance Minister AHM Mustafa Kamal, who could not make the trip.

Talukder also met the vice chairman of the US banking giant JPMorgan and the managing director of Standard Chartered’s Asia-Pacific region.

“They want to offer various facilities to Bangladesh. We told them that we appreciated their interest. If we increase the size of our loans in future then why not. We asked them to support our private sector.”

Urban poverty triples in Sri Lanka amid enduring crisis  

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World Bank flags need for higher social security in the island  

Meera Srinivasan

As Sri Lankans continue braving their worst economic crisis since Independence, urban poverty on the island has tripled in the last year, from 5% to 15 %, according to a recent World Bank report.

Sri Lanka is experiencing “its highest poverty rate since 2009 [when the civil war ended], and an erosion of the steady gains in welfare made between 2006 and 2019,” the Bank noted in its recent Sri Lanka Development Update titled ‘Protecting the poor and vulnerable in a time of crisis’, released earlier this month.

While 80% of Sri Lanka’s poor still live in rural areas, the poverty rate in urban areas has tripled since 2021, and half the population in estate areas is currently living below the poverty line, it said, referring to Sri Lanka’s hill country that is home to the island’s historically-neglected Malaiyaha Tamils. About 1.5 lakh people, mostly women, from the million-strong community work in the tea estates, bringing in crucial foreign exchange to the country. They live in dire conditions, in colonial era line rooms, and labour hard to be paid their hard-won LKR 1000 daily wage (roughly ₹ 225).

Across districts, Mullaitivu in the Tamil-majority Northern Province continues to be the poorest — 57 % poverty recorded in 2022 — followed by neighbouring Kilinochchi and Nuwara Eliya in the Central Province [hill country], the report said.

The update comes while Sri Lanka struggles to cope with a harrowing economic crash, that forced the government to default on its $50 billion foreign debt in April. The following months witnessed enormous shortages of essentials, including food staples, fuel and medicines, as well as an unprecedented people’s uprising that ousted former President Gotabaya Rajapaksa. Backed by a parliamentary vote, senior politician Ranil Wickremesinghe was elected President in July. While essential supplies have since improved, with the government’s fuel rationing policy and repurposed World Bank funds, the fundamental macroeconomic problems remain.

Headline inflation increased to 69.8% in September 2022, while food inflation spiked to 94.9%. Amid frequent local media reports of hunger and starvation, resulting in a rise in school dropouts in some areas, the World Food Programme and the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization have assessed that nearly a third of Sri Lanka’s 22 million population are food insecure since the crisis hit.

Emphasising that national security is ensured not only with the military, but also through food and economic security, President Wickremesinghe has called for “urgent measures”, his office said on Tuesday, following a review meeting of the government’s ‘National Food Security and Nutrition Assurance Programme’. His government, while facing growing public criticism over inadequate action and repression, is counting on a $2.9 billion package from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), that will be released only after Sri Lanka’s creditors commit to a debt restructuring programme.

Social security in focus

As part of its recommendations, the World Bank has urged the government to increase financing for social assistance; come up with a social protection strategy, that includes an operational Welfare Benefits Board and a Social Registry, to enable effective targeting of social security programmes, given the addition of “newly poor” families. It has also called for an increase in cash transfers, to account for the double-digit inflation.

Meanwhile, rights watchdog Amnesty International, in a report on the current economic situation in Sri Lanka released on October 4, made a case for universal social security that sections in Sri Lanka have also sought.

Highlighting limitations to existing programmes in Sri Lanka, Amnesty, in the report titled ‘We are near total breakdown’ pointed to the “lack of sufficient funding, inadequacy of the level of benefits, poor targeting, and the exclusion of a large proportion of people due to administrative inadequacies.” “The targeting of benefits based on levels of poverty has been criticised by experts for arbitrariness, excluding people who should be covered, stigmatising effects, and higher administrative costs,” the report said.

The Hindu

Opposition Leader reveals consequences of new tax scheme!

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The current government is bankrupt in terms of economy as well as ideas, said Leader of the Opposition Sajith Premadasa yesterday (14), addressing the occasion in which a bus was donated to Siddhartha National School in Galle, as the 36th donation of that kind under the ‘Sakwala’ initiative introduced by the Samagi Jana Balawegaya (SJB) to improve education of Sri Lankan children.

The new tax imposition by the government, which is rather astonishing, has thrown the people of this country directly into fire and is staggeringly invasive on those who are already oppressed, the Opposition Leader pointed out.

Stressing that tax increment is not the only way to boost the state revenue, Premadasa reminded that dollars held by those disclosed in the ‘Pandora Papers’ should be retrieved.

Struggling shall not be carried out for political gain, but for the education of the children, he added.

MIAP

SL debt talks get underway amid Paris Club coordination with China, India

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Sri Lanka’s debt restructuring talks are now underway with creditors including China that will test whether Beijing and rival lenders such as India can put aside their differences to help the island escape its economic crisis.

“We are sure that China will assist us in these difficult times,” Sri Lanka’s president Ranil Wickremesinghe said in parliament recently as he announced the launch of talks with Beijing.

He added“It is our expectation now to come to a common agreement as soon as possible.”

Crisis-hit Governmet’s negotiations with its creditors have become an indicator of how creditors respond to rising global debt distress, with Beijing’s role drawing particular international inspection.

Sri Lanka currently struggles with goods shortages, rising hunger and political party disunity amidst mounting US $50bn in foreign debt to private bondholders such as Black Rock as well as countries including China, Japan and India.

The Paris Club creditor country’s last month reached out to China and India seeking to coordinate closely on Sri Lanka’s debt talks but is still awaiting a reply,informed international sources including reuter news agency revealed.

Paris Club officials have contacted two of Sri Lanka’s biggest bilateral creditors after the cash strapped government reached a staff-level agreement with the International Monetary Fund board for a $2.9 billion loan in September.

The Paris Club still hasn’t received a reply from any of those two countries informed sources added.

Officials also met with Indian officials in Washington on the sidelines of the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. Chinese officials were not present in person.

Sri Lanka is grappling with the worst economic crisis in more than seven decades, with more than a quarter of its population struggling with food shortages, according to United Nations estimates.

The island nation of nearly 22 million people, is seeking an ad-hoc coordination platform to obtain financing assurances from bilateral lenders, which also include Japan.

As a middle-income country, Sri Lanka is not able to apply for relief under the Group of 20 common frameworks for debt treatments.

Its total foreign currency debt of $38.7 billion amounted to 48.2% of GDP, the latest IMF report showed in March.

The person added that India and China might be at odds on who should take the first step to engage in close coordination with the Paris club in Sri Lanka.

The country owes close to $14 billion to a wide range of bilateral creditors, of which 66% is owed to non-Paris Club members, according to Sri Lankan government data.

The country also needs to renegotiate around $12 billion with overseas bondholders after defaulting on its international debt earlier this year.

While the country is promoting the ad-hoc common framework, it is still unclear which country would chair a creditor committee

CB’s interest rate hike boomerangs resulting recession in Sri Lanka

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Sri Lanka’s growth rate is now slowing down following the boomerang of the Central Bank’s decision to increase interest rates without safeguards giving way to a recession affecting business and banking activities,economic activists claimed.

Due to rising inflation and lower growth, the Sri Lankan economy is approaching stagflation. Growth expectations for the country have nosedived after the sovereign default with the economy projected to decline by -7.8 per cent in 2022 and -3.7 per cent in 2023.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) this week forecasted a lower contraction of the Sri Lankan economy than the World Bank.

In its World Economic Outlook (WEO) released this week IMF estimated Lankan economy to contract by 8.7% this year and by 3% next year. However, the World Bank in its forecast released last week estimated a contraction of 9.2% this year and 4.2% in 2023.

Rapid rate hikes were the Central Bank’s response to high inflation that might have been fueled by the easier monetary policy adopted earlier.

There is no one-size-fits-all measure of how quick is too quick, and no way to know whether policymakers have made optimal tradeoffs between growth and inflation except in hindsight.

However Sri Lanka Central Bank Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe has warned that the local businesses will collapse if there was no control of inflation by increasing interest rates under the present circumstances.

The current tight monetary policy helps to control inflation which is the biggest enemy of every one as the skyrocketing of prices has become a major threat to business more than high interest rates, he added.

At the Central Bank monetary policy review media conference on Thursday 06, he noted that 95 per cent of costs of businesses depend on the fluctuation of inflation and not because of interest rates. High interest rate is also a finance cost for businesses but it may be 4-5 per cent and may even go up to 7-8 per cent but 95 per cent of their production costs are for raw materials, transport and wages etc.

Explaining the impact of inflation on businesses, he said that “if the Central Bank cuts the current interest rates by half, then the 5 per cent of finance costs could bring down by half. But the rest of the 95 per cent of production costs can double.

“If we cut rates, inflation can become 100 per cent. Then salaries will have to be raised, raw materials will go up, the exchange rate can further depreciate,” he said.

These production costs would increase as a result of high inflation, and if it continues with runaway inflation then the businesses would definitely collapse Weerasinghe claimed.

These costs will go up as a result of high inflation, he said adding the responsibility of the Central Bank as an independent monetary authority is to control inflation. The country’s economy is expected to shrink around 8 per cent of GDP this year as investment and consumption falls as efforts are being made to stabiliZe the economy.

Sri Lanka will have to manage imports with available inflows instead of seeking bridging finance, Central Bank Governor Weerasinghe said.

Power cuts could be minimum if catchment areas meet continuous rain: Power and Energy Minister

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If the catchment areas meet a continuous rainfall, the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) will be able to minimise the power cuts in the country, said Power and Energy Minister Kanchana Wijesekara.

In a tweet yesterday (14) the Minister noted that the CEB will reduce power cuts during the weekend due to the increase in hydro-generation and low energy demand, adding that despite the hope of rain being continuous to the catchment areas of the country, the CEB will manage the water resources available for future power generation.

MIAP

Landslide red notices issued to several districts!

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Red notices of early warning of landslides have been issued to several district of the country from 04 pm yesterday (14) to 04 pm today (15), announced the National Building Research Organisation.

Accordingly, red notices have been issued with evacuation alerts to Bulathsinhala, Palindanuwara, Ingiriya and Walallawita of the Kalutara District, Ambagamuwa of the Nuwara Eliya District and Kalawana and Eheliyagoda of the Ratnapura District.

Meanwhile, level-two notices of early warning of landslides have been issued to several districts, i.e. Agalawatta, Matugama, Millaniya, Bandaragama, Horana and Dodangoda of the Kalutara District, Ruwanwella, Warakapola and Dehiowita of the Kegalle District, and Kuruwita, Pelmadulla, Ayagama, Kiriella, Nivithigala, Elapatha and Ratnapura of the Ratnapura District.

People living in Padukka and Seetawaka of the Colombo District, Baddegama of the Galle District, Madurawala, Panadura, Beruwala and Kalutara of the Kalutara District, and Yatiyanthota, Deraniyagala, Mawanella and Bulathkohupitiya of the Kegalle District have also been warned to stay vigilant about the occurrences of landslides.

MIAP