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New govt. to follow Trump-Musk model of Capitalism? A surer path to prosperity?

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Background of the article

  • The new government that has been labelled as the conventional leftist has chosen the IMF-Dollar debt based restructuring of the economy. This is intended to enter the dollar-based international capitalism as the country’s new growth model. 
  • Last two days, the govt. announced two new policies of seeking government efficiency, primarily through restructuring of 166 non-commercial state institutions, and Clean Sri Lanka through the state and private sectors. 
  • Meanwhile, the whole US November 2024 Presidential election campaign of Donald Trump with the support of Elon Musk primarily promised two policies, i.e., to boost the Dollar to be the global reserve currency again and setting up a department of government efficiency to facilitate further market-based capitalism by closing down unproductive federal agencies and thereby cutting down nearly US$ 2 trillion federal spending by July 2026 out of US$ 6.5 trillion at present. This is expected to cut the federal budget deficit (around 5.6% of GDP at present) and debt (around 122% of GDP at present) by considerable amounts in years to come.
  • President Donald Trump recently threatened BRICS nations with drastic retaliations if they were to continue with non-dollar payment mechanism being tried at present. He also established the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) co-headed by Elon Must and Vivek Ramaswamy. Therefore, Elon Musk seems to be behaving like the shadow US President making various public statements as to how the US capitalism is further promoted through terminating regulations and federal regulatory agencies and cutting budget deficits.
  • In this context, it appears from the preliminary information that the new Sri Lankan government is likely to follow a macroeconomic model similar to that of the US Donald Trump-Elon Musk. Therefore, this article is to provide a conceptual outlook of the similarity of the two models.

Taxes, Public Service and Regulations – the US view

  • The small government, lower regulations and lower taxes are the principles of the US capitalism. A set of short videos is attached below.
  • Elon Musk defends a small government in order to cut unproductive spending and thereby taxes which will promote capitalism and wealth Download the short video here. His view is that we pay taxes as we earn, as we buy and as we own because of the unproductive big government. 

New Sri Lankan Context

  • The purpose of the proposed restructuring of 166 state institutions is no different from the DOGE strategy pursued by Donald Trump-Elan Musk when the principle contexts of the US and Sri Lankan policies as highlighted in the above videos are compared.
  • In that context, the new policy announced on clean Sri Lanka also should be assessed in reference to the cost added to the govt spending within the fiscal space approved by the IMF. If the cost exceeds the prevailing fiscal space, the prior approval of the IMF is required. According to a recent press interview of the IMF Managing Director together with the World Bank President, the IMF approves additional fiscal space for environmental and climate resiliency projects with the funding support from the World Bank.

Key Issues in Sri Lankan Model

  • The presently pursued IMF-Dollar based recovery model is dependent on a new debt flow of Dollars along with restructured debt contingent on the future growth performance of the economy. However, the government does not have any strategies to generate a trade-based dollar surplus to sustain the dollarized economy in the foreseeable future.
  • The use of professional committees to study and recommend the course of action for state policies is not practical because nothing has happened through such professional committees or statutory commissions in Sri Lanka so far, other than messing up the government. The committee mania is the escape device frequently used by the 2015 good governance government. I am doubtful whether even a sensible committee report will be submitted as required. Even if reports are submitted, the general experience is the non-usability of such reports as observed from recent reports, other than some political shows. For example, a big political fuss was created on the Central Bank salary increase 2024-26 at all levels including the Cabinet and Parliament whereas the Central Bank has now outright disregarded the committee’s recommendations accepted by the Parliament.
  • The public responsibility of such new policies is with the the Parliament or lawmakers and not with external professional committees. The Parliament has a number of supervisory committees that can be used for this purpose. In addition, the Parliament can hire experts to draft laws as required.
  • The other hurdle is the existence of several state institutions lawfully authorized to deal with the two subjects, i.e., restructuring of non-productive state agencies and clean Sri Lanka. Therefore, recommendations made by external committees may not be accepted or implemented by such authorities. If so, the government may violate own laws.
  • In that context, it is advisable that the government pursue both proposals (clean Sri Lanka and state restructuring) through the existing IMF programme being the Sri Lankan macroeconomic tinker for the past two years. It anyway requires the IMF approval if they affect the fiscal space already approved by the IMF. A large number of state enterprises is already in the IMF programme conditions. Therefore, seeking the technical assistance of the IMF, similar to the anti-corruption and good governance model being implemented at present and IMF reform list of state enterprises, will be preferable to local experts who are highly uncertain.
  • The Cabinet Spokesman clarified these 166 institutions as those who have not fulfilled their statutory functions. Therefore, the question arises as to whether other state institutions are efficient. For example, the Ministry of Finance and Central Bank together mismanaged debt and defaulted unconstitutionally causing the country’s bankruptcy. However, both institutions continue free without any management reform. Public Enterprises Department and National Budget Department have failed in supervision of these 166 institutions. Therefore, the state efficiency is a world-wide legacy issue that external expert committees cannot find solutions. Therefore, such professional committees and reports are only attempts of the government to escape the problem.

Concluding Remarks

  • Given the global dominance of the US dollar capitalist model with the supporting IMF-World Bank-investor network and Sri Lankan IMF-Dollar debt based fiscal and monetary system, it would be ideal to work with Donald Trump-Elon Musk economic model alternative to the conflicting India and China mix or geo-politically confused BRICS link.
  • The only concern here is the low profile of Sri Lankan leaders to handle the new capitalist model as compared to Donald Trump and Elon Musk who enjoy globally ranking business profiles, individual wealth and commanding proficiency in wealth creation through competitive markets.
  • It is confident that the IMF-World Bank will be a fine conduit to coordinate the US and Sri Lankan models.
  • The majority of Sri Lankan public will be happy for the new model if it is sustainably pursued as it will open Sri Lanka to development and prosperity on the global dollar network and businesses. 
  • The new capitalist model will be further facilitated if the new government re-establishes the Currency Board System (i.e., printing money against dollar reserves only) in place of the existing failed central banking and sovereign currency system.
  • The ideal capitalist model for Sri Lanka may be to become an island economy with US Dollar as the national currency by gradually terminating the Rupee and money printing so that Sri Lanka will be free from money printing scandals, inflation ghosts and dollar debt traps as Sri Lanka will be a de-facto part of the US economy, the global leader. The presently followed IMF solution is a shadow dollar model. In that way, we can correct many errors made by national leaders in the past 76 years as alleged to have led to the present foreign currency debt crisis and bankruptcy.

(This article is released in the interest of participating in the professional dialogue to find out solutions to present economic crisis confronted by the general public consequent to the global Corona pandemic, subsequent economic disruptions and shocks both local and global and policy failures. All are personal views of the author based on his research in the subject of Economics which have no intension to personally or maliciously discredit characters of any individuals.)

P Samarasiri

Former Deputy Governor, Central Bank of Sri Lanka

(Former Director of Bank Supervision, Assistant Governor, Secretary to the Monetary Board and Compliance Officer of the Central Bank, Former Chairman of the Sri Lanka Accounting and Auditing Standards Board and Credit Information Bureau, Former Chairman and Vice Chairman of the Institute of Bankers of Sri Lanka, Former Member of the Securities and Exchange Commission and Insurance Regulatory Commission and the Author of 13 Economics and Banking Books and a large number of articles published.)

Source: Economy Forward

Fatal road accidents across SL claim 11 lives in 24 hours

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December 22, Colombo (LNW): Over the past 24 hours, Sri Lanka has witnessed a tragic series of road accidents, resulting in the loss of 11 lives, including those of two young individuals.

The accidents occurred in various regions of the island, with the most devastating incident involving a bus en route to Hatton, which claimed the lives of three people.

The fatalities were reported yesterday (21), across several police jurisdictions, including Hatton, Marawila, Ambalantota, Gampola, Hettiipola, Batticaloa, Mirihana, Kebithigollewa, and Seeduwa.

The incidents spanned both urban and rural areas, underscoring the widespread nature of the road safety crisis affecting the nation.

In addition to the bus crash in Hatton, which garnered significant attention due to the severity of the collision, other accidents occurred in different parts of the country, with varying causes, including speeding, poor road conditions, and reckless driving.

The victims, whose identities are still being verified, included both pedestrians and individuals in vehicles, with some reported to be travelling without seatbelts or helmets.

CBSL introduces relief measures for struggling SMEs amidst economic hardships

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By: Isuru Parakrama

December 22, Colombo (LNW): The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) has recently rolled out a set of comprehensive relief measures aimed at supporting Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) that have been significantly impacted by a series of crises, including the 2019 Easter Sunday attacks, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the exceptional macroeconomic challenges that have plagued the country in recent years.

These measures, developed in collaboration with the Sri Lanka Banks’ Association, align with the objectives of the Working Committee on Loan Recovery, under the Special Provisions Amendment Act No. 26 of 2024.

Under these newly introduced provisions, SMEs with loans that have turned into non-performing loans (NPLs) will have their repayment schedules restructured.

The adjustments will be based on the financial capability of the borrowers and the presentation of a viable business recovery plan that is deemed acceptable by the banks.

The CBSL has specified that all rescheduling agreements must be formalised by June 15, 2025.

For SMEs with outstanding loans, the CBSL has outlined a staggered repayment timetable:

  • Enterprises with loan balances of less than Rs. 25 million will be expected to resume repayments by December 31, 2025.
  • Those with loans between Rs. 25 million and Rs. 50 million must begin repayments by September 30, 2025.
  • Businesses with loans exceeding Rs. 50 million are required to start repaying by June 30, 2025.

In an additional move to ease the burden on businesses, the CBSL has also introduced provisions for interest waivers on unpaid loan amounts that have accrued between April 2019 and December 15, 2024. The level of waiver depends on how quickly the interest is cleared:

  • A 65 per cent waiver will be granted on loans ranging from Rs. 5 million to Rs. 10 million if the outstanding interest is paid within six months.
  • A 50 per cent waiver applies for the same loan category if settled within a year.
  • A 40 per cent waiver will be offered for repayments made within one to five years.

Furthermore, the CBSL has mandated that banks must not deny new loan applications solely based on adverse records in the Credit Information Bureau (CRIB), a decision likely aimed at providing a lifeline to SMEs struggling with their financial history due to the challenging past few years.

In cases where relief is denied to borrowers, the banks are required to provide a clear explanation for the refusal. Borrowers will also be given the opportunity to appeal the decision to the Director of the Financial Consumer Relations Department at the CBSL.

These relief measures apply specifically to SMEs whose loans became Stage 3 non-performing loans after April 1, 2019. To qualify for the relief, businesses must engage with their respective banks’ Business Revival Units by March 31, 2025, and submit the necessary documentation to demonstrate their eligibility.

Chinese hospital ship ‘Peace Ark’ arrives in Colombo for official visit

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December 22, Colombo (LNW): The Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy hospital ship, Peace Ark, docked in Colombo on Saturday (21) for a formal visit, marking another significant step in the strengthening of Sino-Sri Lankan naval relations.

The Sri Lanka Navy welcomed the vessel according to traditional naval protocols, as outlined in a statement from the Sri Lankan Navy.

The Peace Ark, an imposing 178-metre-long hospital ship, is crewed by 310 personnel and commanded by Captain Deng Qiang.

This specialised vessel, which is equipped with state-of-the-art medical facilities, is renowned for its humanitarian missions, offering medical assistance to countries in need.

During its stay in Sri Lanka, the Peace Ark will collaborate with the Chinese Embassy in Sri Lanka to provide medical services to the local population.

Onboard medical teams, along with personnel from the Sri Lanka Navy Medical Department, will run clinics offering a variety of healthcare treatments.

These medical outreach initiatives are part of China’s broader commitment to humanitarian assistance in the region, aimed at strengthening bilateral ties.

In addition to the medical activities, the crew of the Peace Ark will also have the opportunity to explore Sri Lanka’s cultural and tourist attractions.

Their visit is expected to foster goodwill and provide a chance for the Chinese and Sri Lankan naval forces to engage in social and cultural exchanges.

The Sri Lanka Navy has planned several events to enhance camaraderie between the two forces, including joint activities and briefings on naval operations.

Furthermore, Sri Lankan Navy personnel, along with officer trainees from the Naval and Maritime Academy and the Kotelawala Defence University, will be given the chance to learn from the Peace Ark crew.

They will participate in briefings to gain insight into the operational aspects of hospital ships and how such vessels contribute to humanitarian efforts and military cooperation.

The Peace Ark is scheduled to remain in Sri Lanka until December 28, after which it will continue its mission elsewhere.

Western Province remains SL’s economic powerhouse, despite slight dip in contribution

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December 22, Colombo (LNW): The Western Province maintained its position as the largest contributor to Sri Lanka’s nominal GDP in 2023, accounting for 43.7 per cent of the total economic output, according to the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL).

However, this figure represents a slight decline compared to the previous year, signalling a marginal reduction in the region’s dominance within the national economy.

The Western Province’s leading role was most apparent in the Industry and Services sectors, where it played a pivotal part in shaping the country’s economic performance.

Whilst the Western Province continues to be the clear frontrunner, the North Western and Central Provinces followed closely behind, contributing 10.9 per cent and 10.3 per cent to Sri Lanka’s nominal GDP, respectively.

Despite this, these regions saw an increase in their share of the economy compared to 2022, reflecting some growth in their economic standing.

Other provinces also experienced a rise in their nominal GDP contributions in 2023, with the Central, North Central, Northern, and Southern Provinces all registering gains.

Whilst the overall pace of growth slowed down across all provinces compared to the previous year, CBSL indicated that the nation’s regional economies still showed positive expansion.

The North Western Province continued to be a dominant force in agriculture, contributing 19.6 per cent to the sector’s total value in 2023. This was followed by the Southern Province, which contributed 13.5 per cent, and the Central Province at 12.4 per cent.

These regions have long been integral to Sri Lanka’s agricultural output, and their performance remains crucial to the country’s rural economy.

In the Industrial sector, the Western Province maintained its commanding presence, accounting for a substantial 48.7 per cent of the overall value. This vast contribution underscores the province’s centrality to Sri Lanka’s manufacturing and industrial activities.

The North Western Province followed as the second-largest contributor, at 12.3 per cent, whilst the Central Province’s share stood at 9.3 per cent, marking it as another important player in the nation’s industrial landscape.

In terms of Services, the Western Province was once again the leader, contributing 45.9 per cent of the total services sector output. The Central Province came in second, with 10.4 per cent, followed closely by the Southern Province, which accounted for 9.9 per cent of services activities.

These figures highlight the continued prominence of the Western Province in Sri Lanka’s growing services sector, which includes areas such as finance, trade, and tourism.

Challenges, nevertheless, persist, as all regions face slower growth compared to the previous year.

President set to visit China in January amid economic recovery

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December 22, Colombo (LNW): President Anura Kumara Dissanayake has announced plans to visit China in mid-January for crucial discussions, marking an important step in the island nation’s diplomatic and economic efforts.

This announcement comes shortly after the completion of a long-awaited restructuring of Sri Lanka’s foreign debt, a major milestone in the country’s path to recovery.

At the time of Sri Lanka’s economic collapse in 2022, China was the largest creditor among the country’s bilateral lenders, holding more than half of the nation’s external debt.

This situation was particularly dire when Sri Lanka ran out of foreign exchange, leaving it unable to afford essential imports such as food, fuel, and medicines.

In the wake of this crisis, Sri Lanka has embarked on a slow but steady economic recovery, largely thanks to the assistance of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which provided a bailout package.

The government has also implemented austerity measures in an attempt to restore its severely strained finances.

Dissanayake, who took office in September 2024, has made tackling corruption and improving governance central to his leadership agenda.

His party’s overwhelming victory in snap parliamentary elections has further strengthened his position domestically.

While details of his upcoming visit to China remain sparse, Dissanayake confirmed his travel plans, stating that he would be heading to Beijing sometime next month.

His trip is expected to focus on strengthening ties with China, which has been a key economic partner for Sri Lanka for many years.

This will not be the President’s first foray into international diplomacy, however. His first official overseas visit as president was to India, where he was warmly welcomed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi on December 16.

India, as a regional powerhouse, has historically held significant influence in Sri Lanka, and the two countries share deep cultural, economic, and security ties.

Nevertheless, India is also engaged in a fierce competition with China for geopolitical influence, particularly in the Indian Ocean region.

The island of Sri Lanka, strategically positioned along one of the world’s busiest maritime trade routes connecting the Middle East and East Asia, has become a focal point in this rivalry.

India has expressed growing concerns over China’s increasing influence in Sri Lanka, especially through projects under China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), which New Delhi views with suspicion.

Given Sri Lanka’s critical location in the Indian Ocean, any shift in alliances between Sri Lanka and China could have wider implications for regional security and economic dynamics.

In the midst of these complex geopolitical considerations, there is some optimism about Sri Lanka’s future. On Friday, credit rating agency Fitch upgraded Sri Lanka’s long-term foreign currency issuer default rating to CCC+, reflecting a positive outlook following the debt restructuring efforts.

However, Fitch also cautioned that while these measures have alleviated some of the immediate financial pressures on the government, Sri Lanka’s debt-to-GDP ratio and interest-to-revenue ratios remain high, posing long-term challenges for the economy.

Showers, thundershowers expected across island, misty conditions to follow (Dec 22)

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By: Isuru Parakrama

December 22, Colombo (LNW): Showers or thundershowers may occur at several places in Western, Sabaragamuwa, Southern and Uva provinces and in Nuwara-Eliya, Kandy and Ampara districts during the evening or night, the Department of Meteorology said in its daily weather forecast today (22).

A few showers may occur in Northern and North-western provinces and in Anuradhapura district.

Misty conditions can be expected at some places in Central, Sabaragamuwa, Southern, Uva and Eastern provinces during the morning.

The general public is kindly requested to take adequate precautions to minimise damages caused by temporary localised strong winds and lightning during thundershowers.

Marine Weather:

Condition of Rain:
Showers or thundershowers may occur at several places in the sea areas extending from Colombo to Pottuvil via Galle, Matara and Hambanthota during the afternoon or night.
Winds:
Winds will be Northerly to North-westerly in the sea areas around the island and speed will be (20-30) kmph. Wind speed can increase up to (50-55) kmph at times in the sea areas off the coast extending from Colombo to Pottuvil via Galle, Matara and Hambantota.
State of Sea:
The sea areas off the coast extending from Colombo to Pottuvil via Galle, Matara and Hambantota may be fairly rough or rough at times. Temporarily strong gusty winds and very rough seas can be expected during thundershowers.

Sri Lanka Original Narrative Summary: 22/12

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  1. President Anura Kumara Dissanayake will visit China in January for talks, following the completion of a foreign debt restructuring: China, which held over half of Sri Lanka’s bilateral debt during the 2022 economic crisis, plays a crucial role in the island’s recovery: Dissanayake’s first overseas visit as president was to India, a key regional rival to China: Fitch Ratings recently upgraded Sri Lanka’s credit rating, though challenges with high government debt remain.
  2. The Criminal Investigation Department (CID) has launched an inquiry into the erroneous listing of Justice Minister Harshana Nanayakkara’s title on the parliamentary website: A CID team visited Parliament on December 20 to record statements from officials and obtain relevant documents: Nanayakkara had filed a complaint about being listed as “Dr.” on the website, calling it defamatory: Parliament acknowledged the mistake, attributing it to incorrect data.
  3. Former President Ranil Wickremesinghe clarified that during his tenure (2022-2024), private requests for medical aid from public representatives were processed through standard administrative procedures under the Presidential Fund: Except for one case, no individual received over Rs. 1 million in aid: Notable disbursements included heart surgeries for former officials and Rs. 5 million for actress Malini Fonseka’s treatment in India: Over Rs. 100 million was allocated for various medical treatments during this period.
  4. NPP MP Nilanthi Kottahachchi stated that people have the democratic right to challenge truths and expose falsehoods, and to critique or praise the government’s actions: Speaking in Kalutara, she emphasised that individuals are entitled to see both positive and negative aspects of government actions: Kottahachchi also defended the NPP’s honesty during the election campaign, rejecting claims of misleading voters.
  5. Fitch Ratings has upgraded Sri Lanka’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘CCC+’ from ‘RD’ (Restricted Default), citing the completion of international sovereign bond restructuring and improved macroeconomic outlook: The Local-Currency IDR was also upgraded to ‘CCC+’ from ‘CCC-‘, reflecting reduced default risk on local debt: The restructuring covers 96% of external commercial debt, converting it into a mix of macro-linked and governance-linked bonds.
  6. Sri Lanka has repaid defaulted local bondholders with floating-rate rupee bonds, part of the restructuring of International Sovereign Bonds (ISBs), completed on December 20: The country issued 8 tranches of bonds worth Rs. 155.7 billion, with no principal reduction for local bondholders, primarily banks: These bonds will carry a coupon rate 50 basis points above the Central Bank’s Standing Lending Facility rate.
  7. Gold prices in Sri Lanka have risen, with the price of a pound of 22-carat gold increasing to Rs. 193,200 from Rs. 190,500 in two days: Additionally, the price of 24-carat gold has gone up by Rs. 2,000, reaching Rs. 210,000 per pound, according to the latest market data from the Colombo Gold Centre on December 21.
  8. A surprise inspection by the Jinthupitiya MOH office and Public Health Inspectors on December 21 revealed serious hygiene violations in restaurants on Bodhiraja Mawatha, Pettah: Issues such as rat droppings in kitchens and food preparation areas, and cats roaming in these spaces, were found: Restaurant owners were criticised, with some blaming the rat surge: Strict warnings and legal actions were issued, with instructions to improve sanitation.
  9. The Trade Association of the Peliyagoda Central Fish Market Complex has reported a significant rise in fish prices due to adverse weather conditions: According to Chairman Jayasiri Wickramarachchi, the price of mackerel has surged to Rs. 2,200 per kilogramme, while seer fish is now selling for 2,500 rupees per kilogramme.
  10. Glamorgan County Cricket Club has signed Sri Lankan fast bowler Asitha Fernando for the first seven matches of the 2025 Vitality County Championship, pending a No-Objection Certificate from Sri Lanka Cricket: Fernando, a key bowler in all formats for Sri Lanka, has impressed internationally, including a five-wicket haul at Lord’s in 2024: He expressed excitement about joining Glamorgan, while Director of Cricket Mark Wallace welcomed him as the club’s first Sri Lankan player.

With SL exiting sovereign default, treasury secretary urges a cautious policy approach without sacrificing economic stability.

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LankaLeader : With Sri Lanka having officially exited sovereign default, Treasury secretary Mahinda Siriwardena emphasised the critical need to manage the economy with a cautious policy approach without sacrificing hard-earned economic stability.

On December 20, 2024, Sri Lanka achieved a significant milestone in its economic recovery by officially exiting sovereign default. This development was marked by Fitch Ratings upgrading the country’s long-term foreign-currency default rating from ‘restricted default’ (RD) to ‘CCC+’.

The journey to this point has been arduous, involving painful reforms and a complex debt restructuring process. Sri Lanka defaulted on its foreign debt in May 2022 amid high debt levels and low foreign exchange reserves, leading to severe shortages of essentials and a deep economic crisis.

The debt restructuring plan, approved by creditors, encompasses a $12.55 billion overhaul anticipated to save the country $9.5 billion in debt service payments over four years. This plan includes swapping defaulted bonds for new fixed-income instruments, with potential interest rate reductions tied to governance targets.

Siriwardana, also Secretary to the Ministry of Finance, expressed optimism about this development.

He tweeted yesterday, “Today marks a pivotal moment in Sri Lanka’s economic recovery as we officially exit sovereign default. This achievement reflects the resilience and commitment of our nation to overcome challenges and build a sustainable future.”

He also emphasised the critical need to manage the economy with a cautious policy approach without sacrificing hard-earned economic stability.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has been crucial in Sri Lanka’s recovery efforts. In March 2023, the IMF approved a $3 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement for Sri Lanka, providing an initial tranche of $330 million. This support was contingent upon the implementation of significant reforms, including major tax increases and debt restructuring, which, although widely unpopular, were deemed necessary to stabilise the economy.

The debt restructuring also involved negotiations with major creditors, including India, the Paris Club, and China. In November 2023, Sri Lanka reached an ‘agreement in principle’ with India and the Paris Club on debt treatment parameters aligned with the IMF’s EFF arrangement. However, China, the nation’s largest bilateral creditor, reached a separate agreement, restructuring $4.2 billion in debt. These negotiations were complex, with concerns about equitable treatment among creditors, but were essential for the country’s path to economic recovery.

Sri Lanka’s exit from sovereign default positions it as the fourth country to conclude a bond restructuring this year, joining Ghana, Ukraine, and Zambia. This achievement is expected to restore confidence among investors and international partners, potentially reopening access to global capital markets and attracting foreign investment.

Despite this progress, challenges remain. The country must continue implementing structural reforms to ensure economic stability and growth. The government has indicated plans to revitalise key economic sectors, support small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), and implement significant social and educational reforms to foster long-term financial resilience.

The public’s response to these developments has been mixed. While there is relief that the country is moving out of default, the reforms have led to increased living costs and economic hardships for many citizens. The government has acknowledged these challenges and emphasised the importance of the reforms for the country’s long-term financial health.

Sri Lanka anticipates a gradual economic upturn with a growth projection of 1.8% for 2024. This outlook reflects cautious optimism as the nation continues its efforts to recover from the severe economic downturn. The government’s commitment to implementing necessary reforms and the support from international partners are expected to play pivotal roles in this recovery process.

Sri Lanka’s exit from sovereign default marks a significant achievement in its ongoing economic recovery journey. While challenges persist, the nation’s resilience and commitment to reform provide a foundation for optimism about its financial future.

Central Bank Announces Relief Measures for Struggling Sri Lankan SMEs

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The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) issued a circular to licensed banks, outlining relief measures for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) adversely affected by the Easter Sunday attack, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the challenging macroeconomic conditions of recent years On December 19, 2024. 

These measures, developed in agreement with the Sri Lanka Banks’ Association (Guarantee) Ltd. (SLBA) during discussions under the Working Committee on Recovery of Loans by Banks (Special Provisions) (Amendment) Act, No. 26 of 2024, aim to assist struggling SMEs.

The SLBA has emphasized that any suspension of Parate execution will be limited to March 31, 2025. The key aspects of the relief package include:

a. The relief measures apply only to SME credit facilities classified as Stage 3 (non-performing) from April 1, 2019, onwards. SMEs must engage with their bank’s Business Revival Units and submit necessary documents by March 31, 2025.

b. Rescheduling of impaired loans for eligible SMEs will depend on their repayment capacity and the presentation of an acceptable business revival plan.

c. Agreements on rescheduled loans must be finalized by June 15, 2025.

d. SMEs with outstanding credit below Rs. 25 million, between Rs. 25–50 million, and above Rs. 50 million as of December 15, 2024, must begin repaying rescheduled loans by December 31, 2025, September 30, 2025, and June 30, 2025, respectively.

e. Unpaid interest (excluding capitalized interest) from April 1, 2019, to December 15, 2024, may be waived.

f. Licensed banks are encouraged to provide additional relief, such as working capital facilities, based on borrowers’ repayment capacities and credible business revival plans.

g. New loan applications under this scheme should not be rejected solely due to adverse CRIB records.

h. In cases of disputes or rejections, banks must inform borrowers of the reasons and advise them on the appeal process to the Financial Consumer Relations Department at CBSL.

i. Borrowers can request a detailed breakdown of their capital, interest, and other charges from banks.

The CBSL has urged licensed banks and borrowers to collaborate effectively to ensure uniform implementation of these measures. Eligible borrowers are encouraged to approach their banks with the required documentation to negotiate repayment plans. Timely repayments, as agreed, are critical to preventing prolonged financial strain on both borrowers and banks.