Home Blog Page 46

Will the US–Israeli Strike on Iran Shake Sri Lanka’s Fragile Recovery?

0

LISTEN TO STORY

WATCH STORY

By: Isuru Parakrama

March 01, Colombo (LNW): The dramatic escalation of tensions between the United States, Israel and Iran — culminating in coordinated strikes on Iranian nuclear and missile facilities — may appear geographically distant from Sri Lanka.

Yet the consequences could reach Colombo’s shores with uncomfortable speed.

The strikes, reportedly carried out under the code names “Operation Epic Fury” by Washington and “Roaring Lion” by Tel Aviv, targeted assets in Tehran, Isfahan and Qom. Amid confirmed reports that Iran’s Supreme Leader has been killed, Tehran responded with missile and drone attacks on US bases and Gulf infrastructure.

The immediate fallout was the effective paralysis of the Strait of Hormuz — the narrow maritime artery through which roughly 20 per cent of global oil supplies pass.

Brent crude surged more than seven per cent, climbing above US$ 90 per barrel. For Sri Lanka, still nursing the wounds of its 2022 economic collapse, that spike is not just a statistic — it is a warning.


Fuel: The First Shockwave

Sri Lanka imports around US$ 2.47 billion worth of refined petroleum annually, making it the country’s single largest import category. Although Colombo does not rely directly on Iranian crude, its suppliers — India, Singapore, the UAE and Malaysia — are deeply integrated into global supply chains vulnerable to disruptions in Hormuz.

The Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CEYPETCO) confirms that the country holds approximately 37 days of fuel reserves — 35 days for diesel and 47 days for aviation fuel. These stocks are sourced from India, Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea, Russia, Oman and Saudi Arabia, with some shipments rerouted through alternative channels such as the Fujairah pipelines.

Despite the immediate fuel price revision effective from midnight yesterday (February 28), officials insist there is no cause for panic buying, and police have been deployed to monitor filling stations amid growing public anxiety. Yet if the Strait remains closed beyond a month, Sri Lanka could face refinery shutdown risks and escalating war-risk insurance premiums on incoming shipments.

Fuel prices have already inched upward. From March 01, 2026, auto diesel rose by Rs. 4 to Rs. 277 per litre, while 92-octane petrol increased by Rs. 1 to Rs. 293. Analysts suggest that a sustained global spike could necessitate hikes of Rs. 10 to 15 per litre. Under the IMF-mandated automatic pricing formula, such increases will be passed directly to consumers, avoiding subsidies but straining households.

A 12 per cent rise in global oil prices alone could add an estimated US$ 500 million annually to the national fuel bill — currently around US$ 4.5 billion. For a country carefully rebuilding foreign exchange reserves, that is a heavy burden.


Inflation, Growth and the IMF Tightrope

Inflation, which had stabilised to 1.6 per cent headline and 3.7 per cent core by February 2026, could once again flare up. Higher transport and electricity costs — with tariffs potentially rising by 11 to 18 per cent — risk eroding consumer purchasing power and business confidence.

A weakening rupee would compound the challenge. Increased import costs and a drain on foreign reserves could complicate Sri Lanka’s commitments under its IMF programme, jeopardising future tranches and growth targets painstakingly negotiated after the debt crisis.


Exports Under Pressure

Sri Lanka’s export sector is equally exposed. Tea shipments to Iran and the UAE — important Middle Eastern markets — are reportedly facing order freezes as regional currencies come under pressure. For smallholders, a sudden collapse in demand could mean a painful drop in prices.

Shipping disruptions are another concern. With risks around both Hormuz and the Suez Canal, vessels are rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope, adding 10 to 14 days to journeys and inflating freight costs. Apparel and rubber exporters, already operating on thin margins, may find contracts squeezed.

Infrastructure projects could also stall if bitumen supplies from the UAE are disrupted, slowing road construction and related development initiatives.


Remittances: A Silent Vulnerability

Perhaps the most delicate exposure lies in the Gulf. Over 1.5 million Sri Lankans — roughly seven per cent of the population — work in the Middle East, sending home between US$ 6 and 8 billion annually. These remittances have been vital in stabilising the rupee and replenishing reserves.

A prolonged conflict could trigger hiring freezes, economic contraction or even evacuations reminiscent of the 1990 Gulf War. A sudden return of workers would not only slash foreign inflows but also swell youth unemployment and create humanitarian strains.


Tourism at Risk

Tourism, another pillar of recovery, depends heavily on Gulf aviation hubs such as Dubai and Doha. Around 60 per cent of Western visitors transit through these centres. Flight suspensions by major regional carriers could result in cancellations and reduced arrivals.

Moreover, travellers from Saudi Arabia and the UAE — a growing segment — may opt to stay home amid regional uncertainty. Even if Sri Lanka remains geographically removed from the conflict, global perceptions of instability can be swift and unforgiving.


Government Response: Discipline Over Relief

The government’s strategy hinges on fiscal discipline. It is relying on diversified import sources, adequate stockpiles and the IMF-driven pricing formula rather than price controls or subsidies. Long-term plans include finalising a US$ 3.4 billion refinery project with Sinopec to strengthen domestic processing capacity and reduce exposure to external shocks.

Yet the uncomfortable truth remains: Sri Lanka’s recovery is intertwined with global stability. A war thousands of kilometres away has the power to test the island’s resilience once more.

The question is not whether Sri Lanka is directly involved in the US–Israeli confrontation with Iran. It is whether the country, still balancing on the edge of economic rehabilitation, can withstand another external storm without being blown off course.

Fuel Prices Raised From Midnight as Ceypetco Revises Rates

0

March 01, Colombo (LNW): Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CEYPETCO) announced an upward revision of several fuel prices, with the new rates coming into force from midnight yesterday (28).

Under the latest adjustment, the price of Auto Diesel has risen by Rs. 4 per litre, bringing it to Rs. 281. Super Diesel has seen a sharper increase of Rs. 6 per litre and will now retail at Rs. 329.

Petrol 92 Octane has also been marginally increased by Rs. 1 per litre, taking the new price to Rs. 293.

However, the corporation confirmed that there will be no change to the prices of Kerosene and Petrol 95 Octane. These will remain at Rs. 182 and Rs. 340 per litre respectively.

The revised fuel prices are as follows:

Auto Diesel – Rs. 281 (up Rs. 4)
Super Diesel – Rs. 329 (up Rs. 6)
Petrol 92 Octane – Rs. 293 (up Rs. 1)
Kerosene – Rs. 182 (unchanged)
Petrol 95 Octane – Rs. 340 (unchanged)

Meanwhile, Lanka IOC has also aligned its prices with the revised rates announced by Ceypetco. The changes by both suppliers will take effect simultaneously from midnight.

President’s Counsel Kuvera de Zoysa Announces Candidature for BASL Presidency 2027/2028

0


Colombo, Sri Lanka – 26 February 2026: President’s Counsel Kuvera de Zoysa has announced his candidature for the post of President of the Bar Association of Sri Lanka (BASL) for the term 2027/2028.

Amid significant challenges facing the legal profession in Sri Lanka, a broad consensus among Senior and Junior members of the BASL has highlighted the need for strong and unifying leadership.

In recent days, numerous eminent Senior practitioners including several past Presidents of the BASL and fellow President’s Counsel have approached Mr. Kuvera de Zoysa, PC, urging him to submit his nomination for the post of President of the BASL. This call has been reinforced by practitioners from Colombo and outstation Bar Associations, including formal written requests from respected Senior members.

After careful consideration and in response to this widespread inclusive appeal, Mr. Kuvera de Zoysa, PC, has decided to submit his nomination.

His candidature has received strong endorsements from the following past Presidents of the BASL including Dr. Romesh de Silva, PC, Mr. Ikram Mohamed, PC, Mr. W. Dayaratne, PC, Mr. Geoffrey Alagaratnam, PC, Dr. Wijeyadasa Rajapakshe, PC, Mr. Kalinga Indatissa, PC, Mr. U. R. De Silva, PC, Mr. Saliya Pieris, PC and further endorsed by several prominent Senior President’s Counsel, including Dr. K. Kanag-Isvaran and Dr. Faiz Musthapha, along with numerous practitioners nationwide.

With more than 30 years of experience as a leading practitioner in Commercial and Civil Law, Mr. Kuvera de Zoysa’s dedication to the profession is reflected in his extensive contributions to the Bar.

These include serving as:

• Chairman of the National Law Conference (2014 and 2015)
• Chairman of the National Law Week and the Social and Welfare Committee (2017)
• Chairman of the Junior Bar Committee (2018–2019), representing over 8,000 Junior members

Resource person in BASL continuing legal education programmes on Civil Procedure, Intellectual Property Law, Commercial Litigation, Arbitration, and Company Law.

Mr. Kuvera de Zoysa said: “I am deeply honoured by the confidence shown by my colleagues across the Bar. I am committed to uniting the profession, addressing our shared challenges, and safeguarding the independence, dignity, and nobility of the legal profession in Sri Lanka.”

Mainly fair weather to prevail across Island (Mar 01)

0

March 01, Colombo (LNW): Mainly fair weather will prevail over the most parts of the island, the Department of Meteorology said today (01).

Misty conditions can be expected at several places in the island during the early hours of the morning.


Marine Weather:

Condition of Rain:
Mainly fair weather will prevail over the sea areas around the island.

Winds:
Winds will be variable in direction and wind speed will be (20-30) kmph.

State of Sea:
Sea areas around the island will be slight.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei killed in US-Israeli air strikes: State Media

0

LISTEN TO STORY

WATCH STORY

By: Isuru Parakrama

March 01, World (LNW): Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme Leader, has been killed in US-Israeli air strikes on Tehran, according to Iranian state media.

He was reportedly targeted in his office on Saturday morning in what officials describe as one of the most significant escalations in decades of hostility between Iran and its adversaries.

The 86-year-old cleric, who had led the Islamic Republic since 1989, was the country’s highest authority, overseeing its armed forces, judiciary and key political decisions. His death marks a profound turning point for Iran’s leadership and the wider Middle East.

International sources disclose that approximately 40 senior Iranian officials were killed in the coordinated air raids. Earlier, Israel said it had identified and killed seven high-ranking officials in targeted strikes, though it did not immediately confirm whether Khamenei had been among them.

US President Donald Trump described Khamenei as “one of the most evil people in History” and urged the Iranian public to “take back their Country”. In a statement, he said the strikes were aimed at weakening what he called “a regime that has terrorised its own people and destabilised the region for decades”.

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) vowed swift and severe retaliation. In a statement carried by state media, the IRGC promised to unleash “the most devastating offensive operation” ever against US bases and Israel, raising fears of a broader regional conflict.

Retaliatory strikes were reported earlier in Dubai, Doha, Bahrain and Kuwait — locations that host US military installations or are close allies of Washington. Initial reports suggest explosions were heard near strategic sites, although the full extent of the damage remains unclear.

Meanwhile, the humanitarian toll inside Iran continues to mount. The Iranian Red Crescent says more than 200 people have been killed nationwide in the latest wave of attacks. Iranian authorities say at least 108 of those victims died when US and Israeli strikes hit a girls’ school in Tehran, an allegation that has not yet been independently verified.

The killing of Khamenei leaves a significant power vacuum at the apex of Iran’s political system. Under the country’s constitution, the Assembly of Experts is responsible for appointing a successor, but analysts warn that the sudden loss of such a dominant figure could trigger internal instability at a moment of acute external threat.

World leaders have called for restraint, warning that the spiralling violence risks engulfing the region in a prolonged and unpredictable conflict.

Iran Leadership Sites Targeted by US and Israel as Tehran Retaliates with Strikes Across Region

0

A major escalation in Middle East tensions unfolded on 28 February 2026 as the United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes targeting multiple locations across Iran, including sites tied to the country’s leadership and military infrastructure. Iran has responded with widespread retaliatory attacks that have spread across the region.

The joint offensive involved airborne and missile strikes on cities including Tehran, Isfahan, Qom, Karaj and Kermanshah. Key targets reportedly included compounds linked to senior leadership figures and command centres, though Iranian officials stated that the Supreme Leader was not present at the time of the attack.

Smoke and explosions were reported across Tehran and other urban areas, with communications disrupted in several districts of the capital. Authorities have not yet released full details regarding damage or casualties.

In response, Iran’s military launched a wave of ballistic missiles and drones toward US and Israeli targets across the Middle East. Sirens sounded in Israel as air defence systems were activated. Several Gulf states that host US military facilities, including Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates, reported incoming projectiles and activated defensive measures.

Reports also indicated damage near US military installations in the region. Officials are still assessing the extent of impact and possible casualties.

Leaders on both sides have defended their actions. US and Israeli officials described the strikes as necessary for national security, while Iranian authorities said their retaliation was a legitimate response and warned that further action could follow.

The widening conflict has prompted several governments to issue travel advisories and restrict airspace, with airlines suspending or rerouting flights across parts of the Middle East.

Casualty figures remain unclear as the situation continues to develop. International leaders have urged restraint and called for diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation.

US–Israel Strikes on Iran Trigger Retaliation as Tensions Escalate

0

Tehran, Iran — The conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran took a dramatic turn in the early hours of 28 February 2026 as coordinated strikes were carried out against Iranian military targets. Iran has since launched a series of retaliatory actions, heightening fears of a broader regional confrontation.

According to officials in Washington and Tel Aviv, the joint operation targeted multiple sites linked to Iran’s military infrastructure, including facilities in and around the capital, Tehran. In response, Iranian military forces have launched missiles, drones and other counter-strikes toward Israeli territory and US bases in the region.

Sirens sounded in parts of Israel as air-defence systems were activated in response to incoming threats. Authorities in several Gulf states — including Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates — also reported explosions and elevated alert levels amid growing uncertainty.

Inside Iran, daily life has been disrupted. The government closed Iranian airspace and issued public advisories urging citizens to remain calm while avoiding public gatherings. Schools and universities in major cities were ordered to suspend classes, and transportation services have been partially affected as authorities assess security risks.

International reactions have begun to emerge. Russia condemned the strikes as an “unprovoked act of armed aggression” and called for renewed diplomatic engagement. Iranian leadership appealed to the United Nations Security Council, asserting that the attacks violated international law and sovereignty.

Global governments are increasingly urging their citizens in the Middle East to seek shelter or temporarily leave affected areas. Several countries are reviewing travel advisories as airlines adjust flight routes in response to restricted airspace.

Meanwhile, reactions within Iran remain deeply divided. Some citizens expressed fear and concern over the escalating violence, while others — already critical of the current regime — saw the developments as potentially marking the beginning of political change. Social media posts captured both distress and cautious commentary, reflecting a population grappling with uncertainty.

As events continue to unfold, world leaders are monitoring the situation closely, warning that diplomatic channels must remain open to prevent further escalation. The coming hours and days are expected to be pivotal for the stability of the broader Middle East region.

US and Israel Launch Major Strikes on Iran as Regional Tensions Escalate

0

The United States and Israel have launched what President Donald Trump described as “major combat operations” against Iran, marking a dramatic escalation in already heightened Middle East tensions.

In a statement confirming the operations, President Trump said the joint action was underway and framed it as part of broader efforts to counter Tehran’s nuclear ambitions. Washington has recently increased pressure on Iran to agree to a revised nuclear deal, with Trump stating on Friday that he was “not happy” with Iran’s negotiating position during ongoing talks.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported that Iran has launched retaliatory strikes following the initial attacks. According to Israeli officials, defensive systems were activated in response to incoming threats.

Images circulating online show smoke rising over parts of Tehran, with reports of explosions heard in at least five cities across Iran. The full extent of the damage and casualties remains unclear.

In remarks that are likely to draw international attention, President Trump urged the Iranian public to “take over” their government, saying, “It will be yours to take. This will be probably your only chance for generations.”

Memories remain fresh in Israel of the brief but intense 12-day conflict with Iran last June, which significantly weakened Iranian air defence systems, according to regional analysts. Observers note that the current escalation comes against that backdrop of unresolved tensions and military recalibration.

Independent verification of events inside Iran remains difficult. International news organisations frequently face visa restrictions from Tehran, limiting their ability to report directly from the ground. As a result, much of the current information is being gathered from official statements and unverified social media footage.

Global leaders are expected to respond swiftly, amid fears that the situation could spiral into a broader regional conflict.

JVP led NPP Government’s Digital Ambitions amid Geopolitical Cyber Tightrope

0

Sri Lanka’s NPP Government is not merely drafting cybersecurity laws it is repositioning the island within a complex web of regional tech diplomacy, AI geopolitics, and cross-border security concerns. The digital economy push, still in its infancy, is unfolding simultaneously with delicate engagements involving India and Pakistan, exposing the strategic balancing act behind the policy narrative.

President Anura Kumara Dissanayake’s participation at the AI Impact Summit in India signalled Colombo’s recognition that artificial intelligence is no longer optional for governance or industry. Regional cooperation is increasingly vital as AI reshapes security doctrines, financial systems, and information warfare capabilities. Yet Sri Lanka enters this arena without a formalised national AI policy, relying instead on a broader cybersecurity strategy and ad hoc institutional development.

The proposed Cyber Security Bill seeks to create a central regulatory authority capable of enforcing compliance across critical infrastructure. Officials maintain that the move is essential as digitalisation accelerates  from online State services to cloud-based financial systems. However, the infrastructure foundation remains uneven, and digital literacy gaps persist across both public and private sectors.

Simultaneously, Sri Lanka has introduced a digital nomad visa programme aimed at attracting foreign technology professionals. The initiative promises foreign exchange inflows and knowledge transfer. But experts acknowledge that in a cloud-driven AI ecosystem, geographical presence is largely irrelevant to cyber risk. Malicious exploitation can originate anywhere, underscoring the limitations of border-based controls in digital governance.

Geopolitically, Colombo is walking a narrow corridor. Alongside strengthening technology engagement with India, discussions have also taken place with Pakistan on cybersecurity cooperation particularly in relation to narcotics trafficking networks that operate transnationally. Maintaining neutrality while deepening digital security ties with rival regional powers requires diplomatic precision.

Foreign policy officials stress that engagements are evaluated on technical merit and national interest rather than ideological alignment. Yet in South Asia’s charged security environment, even technical cooperation can carry strategic implications. Cybersecurity agreements often intersect with intelligence-sharing protocols and infrastructure dependencies, areas where sovereignty concerns can quickly surface.

At home, the Sri Lanka Unique Digital Identity (SLUDI) project exemplifies this tension. While authorities insist sovereign control will be preserved despite foreign technical involvement, the project highlights how digital infrastructure inevitably intersects with foreign expertise and supply chains.

The broader question is whether Sri Lanka’s digital ambitions are advancing faster than its institutional maturity. With no publicly articulated national digital policy, limited AI governance frameworks, and a nascent innovation ecosystem, the Government is attempting to construct regulatory, diplomatic, and technological pillars simultaneously.

If executed transparently and strategically, this multi-track approach could position Sri Lanka as a secure, neutral digital hub in the region. If mismanaged, it risks regulatory overreach at home and strategic entanglements abroad.

For a Government elected on promises of systemic reform, the digital domain presents both opportunity and peril. The coming years will reveal whether Sri Lanka can transform from a cautious adopter into a confident architect of its own digital future  without compromising sovereignty, neutrality, or economic competitiveness in an increasingly contested cyber landscape

Sri Lanka Export Dollars Abroad: Silent Drain on Fragile Economy

0

Sri Lanka’s decision to gazette the Repatriation of Export Proceeds into Sri Lanka Rules No. 01 of 2026 through Extraordinary Gazette No. 2473/30 marks one of the most consequential foreign exchange policy shifts since the economic crisis. The move, approved by Cabinet and introduced under the authority of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka in terms of the CBSL Act No. 16 of 2023, is widely seen as a response to a persistent yet understated issue: the retention of export earnings in overseas accounts by some Sri Lankan exporters.

Sri Lanka generates between USD 15 and 17 billion annually from merchandise and services exports in a normal year. Apparel giants such as MAS Holdings and Brandix, tea exporters including Dilmah Ceylon Tea Company, and diversified conglomerates like Hayleys PLC collectively command billions in foreign currency inflows. Yet industry analysts estimate that during the peak of the 2021–2023 crisis, between 10 and 25 percent of export proceeds were either delayed in repatriation or retained abroad for working capital, debt servicing, or reinvestment. Even a conservative 15 percent retention translates into more than USD 2 billion annually not fully entering Sri Lanka’s formal banking system.

The economic consequences of this practice are profound. In 2022, official reserves fell below USD 2 billion at one point, contributing to sovereign default and severe import restrictions. While exporters argue that holding foreign currency abroad protects against exchange rate volatility and ensures uninterrupted import financing, the macroeconomic reality is that unreturned export proceeds tighten domestic dollar liquidity, increase pressure on the rupee, and compel the State to borrow externally at high cost.

The Government’s latest regulations seek to shift the equation from compulsion to incentive. By amending earlier 2024 rules, authorities are broadening access to local foreign currency denominated loan instruments, particularly Dollar Bonds issued through commercial banks. The first issuance on 10 December 2025 was limited due to regulatory constraints, but the revised framework aims to allow exporters themselves to invest repatriated funds directly into these instruments.

This strategy is economically rational. Encouraging exporters to park their dollars in local bonds rather than foreign banks could deepen the domestic foreign currency capital market and ease pressure on reserves. Redirecting even USD 1 billion into such instruments would significantly strengthen external buffers and reduce reliance on emergency funding.

However, regulation alone cannot solve what is fundamentally a confidence issue. Exporters cite abrupt policy changes, currency depreciation exceeding 80 percent during the crisis, and uncertainty in fiscal measures as reasons for maintaining offshore liquidity. Without sustained exchange rate stability, predictable tax policy, and credible monetary governance, compliance may remain technical rather than enthusiastic.

The Government’s move is a necessary corrective step, but its success will depend less on enforcement and more on rebuilding trust between policymakers and the private sector. In a fragile post-crisis economy, every export dollar matters, and ensuring those dollars circulate within Sri Lanka may prove decisive for long-term stability.