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Manufacturing and Services Sectors Expand amid Year-End Economic Boost

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Sri Lanka’s economy demonstrated continued recovery in November, bolstered by both manufacturing and services sector growth. The expansion was driven by increased demand during the year-end festive season, improved consumer sentiment, and lower interest rates, central bank announced 

The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a key economic indicator of the Central Bank , reflected this positive momentum. The manufacturing PMI recorded a value of 53.3, signaling continued expansion, though slightly moderated from October’s 58.1. Meanwhile, the services sector PMI rose to 60.5 from 60.3, showing steady improvement. PMI readings above 50.0 denote expansion, while values below signal contraction.

In manufacturing, textiles and apparel emerged as a strong performer, driven by increased export orders, particularly from Western markets, where economic resilience has maintained consumer and retail spending. The production sub-index also expanded, primarily due to growth in the food and beverage sector. Concurrently, employment levels and stock purchases increased in response to higher production and new orders.

Despite these gains, some concerns were noted, particularly in food manufacturing, where raw material shortages remain a challenge. Nevertheless, overall sentiment among manufacturers remains optimistic for the next three months.

On the services front, activity was buoyed by increased tourist arrivals, boosting accommodation, food, and beverage sectors. Lending activities in the financial services sector surged as interest rates declined, leading to a rise in loan demand. The wholesale and retail trade sectors also saw significant improvement ahead of the festive season, although adverse weather conditions partially dampened sales.

Employment within the services sector increased to meet growing demand, particularly in tourism and seasonal retail activities. Notably, backlogs of work declined, reflecting improved operational efficiency.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL), the compiler of the PMI, highlighted the broad-based improvements across industries. The bank noted that the rise in new businesses was particularly driven by expansions in financial services and hospitality sectors. Furthermore, expectations for the next three months remain positive, fueled by continued tourist inflows and festive season demand.

Sri Lanka’s economy continued its upward trajectory in November. The combined strength of the manufacturing and services sectors, supported by favorable conditions such as lower inflation and interest rates, signals sustained recovery and growth. Both sectors are poised for further improvement, driven by year-end seasonal momentum and positive outlooks for the months ahead.

SL Bondholders Approve for US $12.55 Billion Debt Restructuring

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Sri Lanka’s bondholders have officially approved the government’s proposal to restructure $12.55 billion of international bonds, marking a significant milestone in the country’s ongoing debt recovery efforts.

Final results revealed that 97.86% of bondholders, representing the outstanding principal, voted in favor of the plan. This decision paves the way for swapping defaulted bonds with innovative fixed-income instruments, tailored to link payouts to economic growth and governance targets.

The debt restructuring follows Sri Lanka’s first-ever foreign debt default in May 2022, caused by a high debt burden and dwindling foreign exchange reserves. This agreement positions Sri Lanka as the fourth country to finalize a bond restructuring in 2023, after Ghana, Ukraine, and Zambia.

Key Features of the New Bonds

The restructured debt introduces a mix of instruments, including: Governance-Linked Bonds (GLBs): A first-of-its-kind instrument designed to reward Sri Lanka for improving governance. 

The GLB offers a 75-basis-point reduction in interest payments if the country meets two key IMF-linked targets by 2026 and 2027:

 These  targets are exceeding revenue-to-GDP ratios projected at 15.3% and 15.4%, Publishing a Fiscal Strategy Statement on the Finance Ministry’s website.

Meeting these targets would reduce Sri Lanka’s interest payments by $80 million over the bond’s lifetime, maturing in 2035.

GDP-Linked Bonds: These instruments are tied to Sri Lanka’s economic performance and introduce adjustments in payouts. If the economy surpasses growth projections, both interest and capital payments could increase in 2028. 

Conversely, if growth underperforms, bondholders would face a reduction in principal, providing up to $2.1 billion in additional debt relief, according to Rothschild advisors.

The GDP-linked bonds use IMF baseline data and incorporate a control variable for cumulative real GDP growth (2024-2027). This ensures Sri Lanka’s debt servicing aligns with genuine economic performance rather than currency fluctuations.

Implementation and Challenges

The new bonds will be issued on December 20, with the necessary minimum thresholds already met. Residual bonds from 2022, which received 73% acceptance, will continue to trade. Sri Lanka plans to issue $10.4 billion in GDP-linked bonds, including $1.6 billion in GLBs and 155 billion Sri Lankan rupees worth of domestic bonds.

Observers highlight the complexity of Sri Lanka’s restructuring instruments, which combine incentives for governance improvements and economic stability. 

While countries like Argentina and Greece have previously used performance-linked bonds, Sri Lanka’s instruments stand out by including downside protection, which shields the economy during economic shortfalls.

 However, challenges remain. For these bonds to gain traction among global investors, they must secure ratings from major agencies like Moody’s, Fitch, and S&P and be included in key indexes, such as those managed by JPMorgan. Moody’s has already approved the structures, and the other agencies are expected to follow suit.

Sri Lanka’s debt restructuring introduces groundbreaking financial instruments aimed at stabilizing its economy and ensuring transparency in governance. 

While the bonds offer innovative solutions, their success depends on investor confidence, liquidity, and ease of valuation. 

This restructuring serves as a critical step toward economic recovery while also acting as a testing ground for experimental instruments that could influence future global debt restructuring strategies.

Indo – Lanka Leaders Chart a New Path for Regional Cooperation

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Indo-Lanka leaders have renewed commitment to reinforce the robust partnership between the two nations, underpinned by shared cultural and historical ties, geographical proximity, and strong people-to-people relationships

The Prime Minister of India, Shri Narendra Modi, and the President of Sri Lanka, held extensive and productive discussions during President Dissanayake’s state visit to India. 

The meeting further strengthened existing friendly relationsa forging comprehensive Partnership for Development and Security

Deepening Bilateral Cooperation

President Dissanayake expressed gratitude for India’s unwavering support during Sri Lanka’s 2022 economic crisis and highlighted his commitment to achieving sustained growth and prosperity for his nation. Prime Minister Modi reaffirmed India’s dedication to assisting Sri Lanka under its ‘Neighbourhood First’ policy and the SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region) vision.

The leaders emphasized expanding the India-Sri Lanka partnership into a mutually beneficial comprehensive framework. They acknowledged the success of India’s development assistance in Sri Lanka, including key projects like the Indian Housing Project and hybrid renewable energy initiatives. Notable agreements include extending support to the Tamil community, the Eastern Province, and solar electrification of religious sites.

Economic Revival and Debt Restructuring

Acknowledging India’s pivotal role in Sri Lanka’s economic stabilization, President Dissanayake thanked Prime Minister Modi for emergency financing, debt restructuring facilitation, and grant assistance to reduce Sri Lanka’s debt burden. Both leaders agreed to prioritize investment-led partnerships to drive sustainable growth.

Trade ties were a key focus, with commitments to enhance trade through the India-Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement (ISFTA) and explore an Economic and Technological Cooperation Agreement. The leaders also agreed to increase INR-LKR trade settlements and attract investments to boost Sri Lanka’s export potential.

Energy, Connectivity, and Technology

Recognizing energy security as a cornerstone for development, the leaders resolved to advance joint projects such as the Sampur solar power plant and offshore wind energy in the Palk Straits. They also agreed to develop Trincomalee as a regional energy hub and promote affordable energy solutions through initiatives like LNG supply and a multi-product pipeline.

Connectivity between the two nations will see enhancements with the recommencement of passenger ferry services and potential development of the Kankesanthurai Port. Digital transformation was another highlight, with Sri Lanka seeking India’s assistance in implementing unique digital identity systems, digital public infrastructure, and UPI-based financial systems to improve governance and service delivery.

Strategic and Defense Cooperation

The two leaders emphasized shared maritime security interests and committed to strengthening defense ties through joint exercises, intelligence sharing, and advanced maritime surveillance. India’s recent provision of a Dornier aircraft and assistance in counter-narcotics operations were appreciated by Sri Lanka.

Cultural, Tourism, and Regional Cooperation

India and Sri Lanka agreed to boost cultural and tourism exchanges by enhancing air connectivity, developing religious tourism infrastructure, and promoting academic partnerships. On the multilateral front, India pledged support for Sri Lanka’s chairmanship of IORA and its bid for BRICS membership.

A Vision for the Future

Both leaders underscored the importance of implementing these agreements to elevate bilateral ties to new heights. President Dissanayake invited Prime Minister Modi to visit Sri Lanka, reaffirming their shared commitment to regional stability, prosperity, and development.

This landmark meeting sets the stage for a stronger India-Sri Lanka partnership, benefiting the people of both nations and contributing to stability in the Indian Ocean Region.

India to Supply LNG to Sri Lanka: A Boost for Bilateral Energy Cooperation

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India has announced plans to deliver liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Sri Lanka as part of its efforts to deepen bilateral energy ties. This development coincided with the first official visit of Sri Lanka’s newly elected President, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, to India following his victory in the September presidential election. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi warmly welcomed the Sri Lankan leader, emphasizing the growing energy collaboration between the two nations.

Expanding LNG Infrastructure in Sri Lanka

In August 2024, India’s Petronet LNG Limited and Sri Lanka’s LTL Holdings Limited formalized a partnership through a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to enhance Sri Lanka’s LNG infrastructure. The project includes the development of LNG unloading, storage, and regasification facilities at Kerawalapitiya in Colombo. These facilities will supply LNG to the Sobadhanavi Power Plant, significantly boosting Sri Lanka’s power generation capacity by 350 MW by early 2025.

Petronet’s LNG will be transported from its Kochi terminal in India using ISO tank containers. These containers will be shipped to Colombo Port and subsequently distributed to power plants. This streamlined logistics approach aims to ensure a steady and reliable energy supply for Sri Lanka.

Supporting Environmental Goals

The Sobadhanavi Power Plant will primarily operate on LNG and has the potential to incorporate up to 30% hydrogen in its operations, aligning with Sri Lanka’s environmental objectives. This initiative reflects the country’s commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions and transitioning to cleaner energy sources.

Additionally, the partnership complements other renewable energy collaborations between India and Sri Lanka, including solar and wind power projects. By diversifying its energy portfolio, Sri Lanka aims to reduce dependence on costly oil imports, paving the way for a more sustainable energy future.

Broader Energy Cooperation

India and Sri Lanka are also exploring other significant energy projects. These include a high-capacity power grid interconnection between the two countries and a trilateral initiative with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to construct a multi-product energy pipeline. This pipeline is expected to deliver affordable and reliable energy supplies from India to Sri Lanka.

The two nations are considering the joint development of offshore wind power potential in the Palk Strait. These efforts will prioritize environmental sustainability while tapping into the region’s renewable energy potential.

Financial and Crisis Support

India’s support for Sri Lanka extends beyond energy. During Sri Lanka’s 2022 economic crisis, India provided $4 billion in emergency financial assistance, including forex support. Furthermore, India has participated in preliminary debt restructuring agreements with Sri Lanka, alongside other international creditors such as China.

Strengthening Energy Security

The Indian Ministry of External Affairs highlighted the leaders’ shared commitment to ensuring reliable, affordable, and timely energy resources for their nations. The timely implementation of ongoing projects, including the LNG supply chain, remains a priority for both governments.

Earlier this year, Petronet LNG and LTL Holdings agreed to supply LNG to Sri Lanka’s dual-fueled power plants under a five-year agreement. The initiative is expected to bolster Sri Lanka’s energy security while fostering closer economic and strategic ties with India.

By prioritizing collaborative energy projects, both nations aim to secure their energy needs while advancing shared sustainability goals, marking a significant step forward in their bilateral partnership.

Sri Lanka Original Narrative Summary: 18/12

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  1. President Anura Kumara Dissanayake, who is currently on an official visit to India, arrived in Bodh Gaya. He paid homage at the Mahabodhi Temple and the Sacred Sri Maha Bodhi tree, the site where Prince Siddhartha attained enlightenment, and received blessings. Bodh Gaya is one of the four main sacred sites associated with the life of Gautama Buddha, holding immense significance for Buddhists.
  2. Prime Minister Dr. Harini Amarasuriya says the opposition is focusing on looking into the qualifications of ruling party MPs due to their inability to find corruption within the National People’s Power (NPP) government. Speaking in Parliament, the Prime Minister remarked that in the past MPs and Ministers of previous governments were primarily probed over corruption and fraud charges.
  3. Sri Lanka’s restructuring of $12.55 billion in international bond debt is set to lead to the launch of a series of new, as-yet-untested instruments linked to economic growth and governance. Observers say it is one of the most complex set of instruments ever arranged in a restructuring. The bonds aim to give the country additional debt relief if the economy falters and to encourage it to improve its governance.
  4. Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath yesterday said that Sri Lanka and India should work together on global issues. “Sri Lanka and India should work together on global issues such as terrorism and climate change for which regional and multilateral approaches are required,” he said. He said that both Sri Lanka and India will continue to work together in taking forward our close partnership, demonstrating the highest level of cooperation.
  5. The newly-appointed Speaker of Parliament, Dr. Jagath Wickramaratne, says he will have to take on a challenging role in fulfilling his responsibility as a legislator for the greater good. He stated this after assuming duties as the new Speaker of Sri Lanka’s Parliament.
  6. The tri-forces personnel assigned to provide security to former presidents will be withdrawn from next week and only police security will continue to be provided, Minister of Public Security Ananda Wijepala said. Speaking during parliamentary session, the Minister highlighted that the police protection will be provided to each former President in accordance with the outcomes of the security assessment conducted every 06 months.
  7. The Court of Appeal yesterday directed the Central Environmental Authority (CEA) to assess the air quality in the Jaffna area and present its findings to the Court. A two-judge Bench of the Court of Appeal, comprising Justices Nissanka Bandula Karunaratne (President) and Shashi Mahendran, directed the relevant authorities to explore the possibility of preparing a programme to inform the public about adverse air quality conditions in Jaffna, based on the investigation’s results.
  8. The year-on-year GDP growth rate for the third quarter of 2024 has been reported as 5.5 percent of positive growth rate, the Department of Census and Statistics indicated. Accordingly, the GDP for the third quarter of 2024 at constant price (2015) has increased up to Rs. 3,151,941 million from Rs. 2,987,544 million which recorded in the third quarter of 2023.
  9. The first batch of brand-new vehicles for Tourism Sector has been successfully imported to Sri Lanka following government approval, marking a significant step in supporting the country’s tourism industry.
  10. Sports Minister Sunil Kumara Gamage said that the Ministry of Youth Affairs and Sports would provide the maximum support to the National Olympic Committee (NOC) to resolve the internal crisis and urged the National Olympic Committee to act in accordance with the recommendations of the International Olympic Committee from now on.

Sri Lanka and India Urged to Strengthen Cooperation on Global Issues

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Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath emphasized the importance of Sri Lanka and India collaborating on pressing global challenges such as terrorism and climate change, highlighting the need for regional and multilateral approaches.

Addressing a reception hosted by the India Foundation at the India Habitat Centre in New Delhi yesterday, Minister Herath stressed that the close partnership between the two nations would continue to flourish. He expressed gratitude for the warm responses received during the ongoing visit, calling them “extremely encouraging and pleasing.”

The Minister noted that President Anura Kumara Dissanayake’s first overseas visit to India underscores the strong bilateral ties between the two countries, which are built on deep historical, civilizational, and cultural bonds extending back over 2,500 years.

“India gifted Buddhism to Sri Lanka, which led to the growth of a Buddhist civilization on the island over two millennia ago, while Hinduism also enriched our socio-cultural fabric through centuries of interaction and movement of people,” he said.

Herath underscored the shared heritage in literature, languages, architecture, and economic practices, emphasizing how these historical and cultural connections have shaped modern Sri Lanka-India relations.

Highlighting tourism as a key area of partnership, he noted that the largest number of tourists to Sri Lanka are from India. He also acknowledged the enthusiasm for Sri Lanka among Indian intellectuals and think tanks.

In a broader political context, the Minister remarked on the unprecedented two-thirds majority achieved by the current administration under the present electoral system, which he described as a “people’s mandate” cutting across provinces, ethnicities, and communities.

India Foundation President Dr. Ram Madhav chaired the session, with former Indian Minister of State for External Affairs Dr. Rajkumar Ranjan Singh also addressing the gathering.

Minister Herath’s remarks reinforced the commitment to deepening ties between the two nations while seeking collective solutions to shared challenges.

Court of Appeal Orders Investigation into Jaffna Air Quality

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The Court of Appeal yesterday directed the Central Environmental Authority (CEA) to assess air quality in the Jaffna area and submit its findings to the Court.

The two-judge bench, comprising Justices Nissanka Bandula Karunaratne (President) and Shashi Mahendran, instructed authorities to explore the feasibility of establishing a public information programme regarding adverse air quality conditions in the region, based on the results of the investigation.

This directive followed a petition filed by Jaffna resident Umasugi Nadarajah. Senior Counsel Ravindranath Dabare, representing the petitioner, argued that no formal investigation into air quality in the Jaffna peninsula had been conducted by government agencies.

The petitioner cited an NBRO report dated June 19, 2023, titled “Monitoring of Ambient Air Quality Levels at Nallur Area, Jaffna.” The report indicated that air quality in the area significantly exceeded World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines due to heightened domestic and vehicular activity during peak hours (6 am to 9 am and 4 pm to 6 pm).

The Court’s order underscores the urgent need for environmental monitoring and public awareness initiatives to address air pollution in Jaffna.

President Anura Kumara Dissanayake Pays Homage at Mahabodhi Temple in Bodh Gaya

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President Anura Kumara Dissanayake, currently on an official visit to India, visited Bodh Gaya yesterday (17) and paid homage at the Mahabodhi Temple and the Sacred Sri Maha Bodhi tree, where Prince Siddhartha attained enlightenment.

Bodh Gaya is one of the four primary sacred sites associated with the life of Gautama Buddha and holds deep significance for Buddhists worldwide. The Mahabodhi Temple, a UNESCO World Heritage Site since 2002, stands as a revered symbol of enlightenment and peace.

The President received blessings from Ven. Pelwatte Seewalee Thera, General Secretary of the Maha Bodhi Society of India, and Ven. Rathmalwala Sumiththananda Nayake Thera, Head of the Sarnath Center, during the visit.

Joining the President in Bodh Gaya were Foreign Affairs Minister Vijitha Herath, Foreign Employment and Tourism Minister, and Labour Minister and Economic Development Deputy Minister Prof. Anil Jayantha Fernando.

The visit underscores Sri Lanka’s deep cultural and spiritual ties with India and the shared heritage of Buddhism.

Interest Rates on Senior Citizens’ Fixed Deposits to Be Increased

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Leader of the House, Minister Bimal Ratnayake, announced in Parliament yesterday that the Finance Ministry will raise the interest rates on senior citizens’ fixed deposits (FDs) through the upcoming Budget.

Responding to a query by Chief Opposition Whip Gayantha Karunathilaka, Minister Ratnayake confirmed that the Finance Ministry has paid special attention to addressing the current reduction in interest rates for senior citizens’ FDs.

Chief Opposition Whip Karunathilaka highlighted that the National People’s Power’s (NPP) policy manifesto, “A Rich Country, a Beautiful Life”, promises an increase of five percent above the normal interest rate for senior citizen fixed deposits.

Minister Ratnayake’s assurance aligns with the government’s efforts to provide financial relief and security to the country’s elderly population amidst rising economic challenges.

Weather Forecast for today (18th of December)

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The low pressure area over the southwest Bay of Bengal is currently located to the east of the Sri Lanka, and It is expected to gradually move west-northwestwards.

Several spells of showers will occur in Northern and North-central provinces and in Trincomalee district.

Showers or thundershowers may occur at few places in the Uva and Central provinces and in Rathnapura, Batticaloa, Ampara and Hambantota districts during the evening or night.

A few showers are likely over the North-western and Western provinces during the morning.

Fairly strong winds of about (30-40) kmph can be expected at times over Northern and North-central provinces and in Trincomalee district.

The general public is kindly requested to take adequate precautions to minimize damages caused by temporary localized strong winds and lightning during thundershowers.